Archive for June, 2005
Draft Recap: Who’s Worth Your While

Well, that was exciting! While I got only 5 of my mock draft picks correct (including both team and player), we found a lot of skilled players headed to a bunch of teams that need them … sorta. But with all this talk about potential, who’s going to step up this year and provide immediate help to your fantasy team? Last year, only 5 players (Dwight Howard, Emeka Okafor, Ben Gordon, Andre Iguodala, and Josh Smith) were worth having for the whole year (Jameer Nelson was useless until he became a starter). Is there more league-ready talent this year? Let’s take a look:

1. Andrew Bogut, MIL
5th to 7th round
Bogut is the best fantasy player in this draft for the same reason he was the best real life player in the draft: He’s a center. He’s going to get plenty of minutes in Milwaukee, and as such he’ll provide a great source of boards, and probably help a little in blocks, too.

2. Chris Paul, NO
6th to 8th round
What a steal for New Orleans, getting probably the best overall player in the draft in Paul. However, he walks into an interesting situation where his back-court mate is only 20 years old (JR Smith), his center doesn’t want to be there, and the rest of his team stinks. Nonetheless, he’ll be reliable for 13-15 points and probably 5-7 assists.

3. Deron Williams, UTH
6th to 8th round
At what point does Jerry Sloan accidentally call him “John?” These are some pretty big shoes to fill but Williams has a great team around him. There are a number of guys around him who can score, post up, and shoot from the perimeter. I like the Jazz to be in the playoffs, and Williams to put up 12/8.

4. Channing Frye, NYK
7th to 9th round
I know, he sucks. I’ll be the first to admit it. But he’s a center, and he’ll get over 30 mpg. How many other guys can you say that about? 11. I counted. Of those 11, only Jason Collins was completely useless to your fantasy team. I know Frye stinks, but he’s no Jason Collins.

5. Raymond Felton, CHA
7th to 9th round
Hats off to Charlotte for doing exactly what I said they would do last night. And Felton will fit in very nicely here. He might not get a ton of minutes, but he’ll be counted on to score as much as distribute when he’s on the court, and stats around 15 and 5 aren’t unreasonable.

6. Wayne Simien, MIA
9th to 11th round
What a great spot for Simien to drop to. Miami is a perfect fit, and if Udonis Haslem leaves via free agency, Simien could be a double-double threat this year.

That’s it. Those are the guys that I can see being worthwhile for your fantasy teams next year barring injury to the guys in front of them. That said, taking a last-round flyer on guys like Joey Graham, Luther Head, Jarrett Jack, or Sean May wouldn’t be a terrible idea if you can stash them on your bench until you have a better idea of the kind of minutes they’re going to see.

Mock Draft, pt 2

For picks 1 through 13, check out Friday’s post.

14. Minnesota Timberwolves
Who they will take: Antoine Wright
Who they should take: Francisco Garcia
Minnesota is a team that needs to draft based on attitude. They way under-performed last year, and they need to plan for a future without dead weights like Sam Cassell and Latrell Sprewell. I like Garcia here because of his passing ability, but Wright isn’t a terrible choice.

15. New Jersey Nets
Who they will take: Martell Webster
Who they should take: Ike Diogu
New Jersey, if they could, would spend their draft pick on a great doctor to make sure Jason Kidd and Vince Carter stay healthy next year. While they should take a rebounding PF, they’ll go for the Kerry Kittles of the future in Martell Webster. This pushes Carter to the 3 and Jefferson to the 4. I’d much rather have them at 2 and 3, respectively.

16. Toronto Raptors
Who they will take: Ike Diogu
Who they should take: Ike Diogu
Toronto is in a tough spot. They’ve got Alston, Rose, and Bosh as defiinite starters. They took Granger at 16, but now they wish they had taken a big there, so they could take Garcia here. That said, there’s not a spot for Garcia and Bosh needs help down low, so they go for the top-rated big left on the board in Diogu.

17. Indiana Pacers
Who they will take: Francisco Garcia
Who they should take: Francisco Garcia
Indiana is my pick to win the East next year. Last year everything that could have possibly gone wrong did, and now they’ve got Artest coming back with a vengeance. Yikes. They could really use some size to back up Jeff Foster and Dale Davis, but Garcia is too good to pass up here.

18. Boston Celtics
Who they will take: Roko Ukic
Who they should take: Johan Petro
Payton isn’t long for the C’s, so Ukic is actually a pretty good pick here. But really, how far will you get with Mark Blount and Raef LaFrentz in the middle?

19. San Antonio (in trade with Memphis Grizzlies)
Who they will take: Joey Graham
Who they should take: Joey Graham
Joey Graham keeps slipping and slipping, and finally San Antonio moves up to get him, giving Memphis their first round pick (#28) and Beno Uridh, who will take over at point for Jason Williams, who has fallen into Jerry West’s doghouse.

20. Denver Nuggets
Who they will take: Martynas Andriuskevicius
Who they should take: Rashad McCants
Denver is pretty sure they want Andriuskevicius here … and the fact that Phoenix is salivating over him means they definitely take him, because he won’t be around for them at 22. They’ll stash him in the D-League for a couple years and once Marcus Camby breaks down for good, he’ll be ready. Hopefully.

21. Phoenix Suns
Who they will take: Johan Petro
Who they should take: Jarrett Jack
Phoenix is dying to get some defense, and Petro should be a decent backup for Kurt Thomas. But I’d like to see them get a successor for MVP Steve Nash. Let Jack grow under Nash’s Canadian wing for a few years.

22. Denver Nuggets
Who they will take: Rashad McCants
Who they should take: Rashad McCants
As a team that ran into a couple of rough stretches offensively last year, this is a great pick. If they treat him like the Bulls treated Ben Gordon, he could be invaluable to this team and a great competitor.

23. Sacramento Kings
Who they will take: Jarrett Jack
Who they should take: Charlie Villanueva
The Kings look for the next Bobby Jackson in Jack, who is a nice value pick here.

24. Houston Rockets
Who they will take: Wayne Simien
Who they should take: Wayne Simien
He’s the guy they’ve targeted since day 1. Villanueva is tempting but they don’t need 2 passive guys in the paint. Simien is a nice fit here.

25. Seattle Sonics
Who they will take: Charlie Villanueva
Who they should take: Charlie Villanueva
It’s between Villanueva and Chris Taft, and Villanueva has at least some upside. Taft seems like a bigger version of Terrence Morris.

26. Detroit Pistons
Who they will take: Linus Kleiza
Who they should take: Salim Stoudamire
The Pistons are deep just about everywhere so they’ll take Kleiza and stash him in the D-league for a year or two, but really, they could use a one-dimensional shooter like Stoudamire for late-game situations.

27. Utah Jazz
Who they will take: Luther Head
Who they should take: Luther Head
The Jazz prayed for Jarrett Jack to fall here, but they’ll have to settle for Head. Ha!

28. Memphis Grizzlies (from San Antonio)
Who they will take: Julius Hodge.
Who they should take: Julius Hodge.
Jerry West loves Hodge, and after the deal with San Antonio, they’ve got Udrih and Hodge to play the point, 2 of “Jerry’s guys”.

29. Miami Heat
Who they will take: Mile Ilic
Who they should take: Salim Stoudamire
The Heat go for Shaq’s new backup, but they should be concerned about the short window that they have to win it all. Stoudamire would be a better choice.

30. New York Knicks
Who they will take: Chris Taft
Who they should take: Chris Taft
Hey, why not? At least he’s tall.

Mock Draft? Well, OK!

Yeah, yeah, I know. There’s already about 15,000 mock drafts out there, but you know what? I wanna do one too. So here it goes, but I’m also gonna guess about a couple trades, just to make it more fun:

1. Milwaukee Bucks
Who they will take: Andrew Bogut.
Who they should take: Andrew Bogut.
A lot of people are falling all over themselves talking about Marvin Williams, but Bogut is more likely to contribute quickly. Drafting a project like Williams might convince Michael Redd to skip town.

2. New Orleans Hornets (In a trade with Atlanta)
Who they will take: Marvin Williams.
Who they should take: Marvin Williams.
New Orleans gives up disgruntled big man Jamal Magloire and the 4th pick in the draft for Atlanta’s number one this year and a conditional number one next year. Magloire hated New Orleans, and they’re not winning anytime soon, so they dumped him for a shot at a guy who could, 3 years from now, be a top player on this team.

3. Los Angeles Lakers (In a trade with Portland)
Who they will take: Chris Paul
Who they should take: Chris Paul
The Lakers clean a little house, giving up Chucky Atkins, Caron Butler and their #10 pick for the #3 and maligned SF Ruben Patterson. Dr. Phil immediately grabs the best PG he’s ever coached.

4. Atlanta Hawks (From N.O.)
Who they will take: Deron Williams.
Who they should take: Raymond Felton.
The Hawks take they’re first round pick, turn around and get a legit NBA Center and their PG of the present, and are immediate winners of this year’s draft. I like Felton more than Williams, but you can’t really go wrong with either right now.

5. Charlotte Bobcats
Who they will take: Raymond Felton.
Who they should take: Raymond Felton.
Everyone (i.e. Chad Ford) says the Bobcats are itching to trade up to get Chris Paul, and are willing to use their 2 lottery picks to get him. I say, hogwash! This is a second-year expansion team with holes to fill all over, and they, more than any other team, need 2 lottery picks. Ex-Tar Heel Felton will be loved by the home crowd in Charlotte.

6. Utah Jazz
Who they will take: Gerald Green.
Who they should take: trade the pick.
Well, crud. The Jazz were desperate to get one of the big 3 point guards, but it just didn’t happen, and now they’re stuck with the 6th pick in a draft that’s 5-deep. With no one looking to move up at this point, they settle on high school phenom Gerald Green, and Jerry Sloan dies a little inside.

7. Toronto Raptors
Who they will take: Danny Granger.
Who they should take: Hakim Warrick.
Toronto needs help pretty much everywhere, but a big 3 like Warrick fits in nicely here. Granger isn’t a terrible choice.

8. New York Knicks
Who they will take: Channing Frye.
Who they should take: A 6-11, 245-lb cactus on wheels.
After the trade of Kurt Thomas, what this team really needs is a skinny guy in the middle who’s afraid of everything. Good pick!

9. Golden State Warriors
Who they will take: Fran Vazquez.
Who they should take: Hakim Warrick.
Another big foreigner for the team that really belongs in the Euroleague. Well, that’s not true, they should be exciting to watch next year as long as Baron stays healthy.

10. Portland Trail Blazers (from LA)
Who they will take: Andrew Bynum.
Who they should take: Andrew Bynum.
Theo Ratliff ain’t getting’ no younger, and Joel Przybilla, well, we’ll see. They can afford to sit Bynum for a little while, and they’ve already gotten their talent this year with Butler and Atkins from LA.

11. Orlando Magic
Who they will take: Hakim Warrick.
Who they should take: Hakim Warrick.
I like Grant Hill as much as the next guy, but he’s getting older, and Warrick will be a great disciple.

12. Los Angeles Clippers
Who they will take: Yaroslov Korolev
Who they should take: Martynas Andriuskevicius
They’ve promised Korolev they’d take him, apparently, but this is a good spot for a high-upside project like Martynas.

13. Charlotte Bobcats
Who they will take: Sean May.
Who they should take: Sean May.
The Bobcats take their seat alongside the Hawks as the winners of the 2005 draft. Now they’ve got Okafor and May, who may both be a little undersized for their positions, but that’s okay. North Carolina as a whole goes crazy.

So I’ll stop here, at the end of the lottery. Maybe, if you’re lucky, on Monday I’ll do the rest of the first round.

Maaaannnnuuuuuu!

As we work our way through the NBA Finals, the one player that has spurred (get it?) the most debate between DM and myself is that crazy Argentinean, Emmanuel Ginobili. DM claims that Ginobili has established himself as one of the top players in the game over the course of the playoffs, and he certainly looked to be right on when Ginobili broke out with 26.5 points, 6 boards, 4.5 assists, 2 steals and 3 three’s in the first 2 games of the finals. However, over the next 3 games in Detroit, he put up just 11.3/4.7/4, with 1 steal and .7 3’s.

So which Ginobili can we expect to see next year? Will it be the slashing, active, energy machine, or the passive, let-Duncan-control-the-game support player? Odds are, it will be somewhere in between. Unlike the Finals, where one game can swing stats drastically, an 82-game season means that you get a good feel for a player’s true probably output for next year.

So, with that in mind, let’s look at what Manu did this past year, and see where that would put him in next year’s fantasy draft.

While Ginobili has certainly emerged as an international superstar this year, really, his number did not improve all that much from last year to this year. He puts up good but not great all around numbers, clearing 4 boards, 3.5 assists, 1.5 steals and 1 three pointer each of the last two years. His scoring, however, did improve, from 12.8 ppg to 16.0, and he improved his FG% along with it. However, while those numbers are good, they’re not exactly superstar. In fact, they’re far from it. Let’s do one of our Player A/B/C comparisons, with Ginobili being Player A.

Player A: 16.0/4.4/3.9, 1.3 3’s, 1.6 steals, 0.4 blocks.
Player B: 17.2/3.5/2.8, 2.3 3’s, 1.1 steals, 0.5 blocks.
Player C: 22.2/6.0/3.4, 0.8 3’s, 1.1 steals, 0.1 blocks.

Player B is Cuttino Mobley, who despite being traded mid-season, performed about as expected, and was a 6th round pick according to ESPN in last year’s drafts. Player C is Corey Maggette, who was generally a 5th round pick last year. You can certainly make a case for any of the above players being more valuable than others, but the point I’m trying to make is that none of them really stand out from the others.

That said, I can almost guarantee that Manu will be chosen before the other two because of the name status that he’s picked up this past month. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him go in the late second/early third rounds in the fall, and I think that’s a mistake for whoever takes him there. Ginobili’s true value for next year, even if he bumps up his scoring to 18 or 20 or so, is not much better than Maggette, Mobley, or a Jason Richardson type. I wouldn’t take him until the 4th round at the earliest. You know that if you want Ginobili, you’re going to have to pay a “name premium” to get him, and that premium is going to be enough to keep me away from him.

Draft Preview Part 3: Pointing the Way

It’s no secret that here at FBB headquarters, we are obsessed with point guards. And this year just happens to be a pretty deep year for point guards in the draft. We’ve already discussed Chris Paul, but there are a couple of other PG’s who are getting mid-to-high-lottery consideration, so let’s use part three of our Draft Preview to see what’s out there. But first, a history lesson:

Dwyane Wade - 16.2/4/4.5, 1.4 steals, .3 3PM in 34.9 mpg
Kirk Hinrich – 12/3.4/6.8, 1.3 steals, 1.9 3PM in 35.6 mpg
TJ Ford – 7.1/3.2/6.5, 1.1 steals, 0.1 3PM in 26.8 mpg
Marcus Banks – 5.9/1.6/2.2, 1.1 steals, 0.3 3PM in 17.1 mpg
Luke Ridnour – 5.5/1.6/2.4, 0.8 steals, 0.4 3PM in 16.1 mpg
Reece Gaines – 1.8/1/1.1, 0.3 steals, 0.1 3PM in 9.6 mpg
Troy Bell – his career lasted six games.

As you can see, I’ve listed the six PG’s who went top-16 in the 2003 draft, along with their corresponding statistics in their rookie year. If anything, this should prove to you that more often than not, highly drafted point guards will be ready to play, as opposed to a lot of big men who are simply drafted for their size more than their ability to contribute right away. In fact, until last year’s picks of Shaun Livingston and Sebastian Telfair, you rarely saw a PG taken early as a “project”. While Banks and Ridnour didn’t put up major numbers, if you prorate their stats out to 40 mpg, they were pretty similar to Hinrich. TJ Ford was a health risk coming out of school and live up to those fears. As for Gaines and Bell, well, bad picks are bad picks.

Anyways, the point is (get it?), that put into the right situations, these guards listed below will be able to produce. Seeing as how they all play the same position, their best and worst case scenarios will be the same. So we’ll just take care of that first:

Best Case Scenario: Charlotte with the 5th pick. They might not stay there, but if they do, they can’t go wrong with a point guard. This team is desperate for a point and whoever (whomever?) they draft will be allowed to have some freedom in the offense as the #2 option behind Okafor.

Worst Case Scenario: Utah. Jerry Sloan showed us last year that he can sour on point guards pretty quickly. That’s what happens when you have John Stockton on your team for like 58 years – you expect every point guard to be like him. This is a situation that one of these players will likely be faced with, but it’s an unfortunate spot for them to land.

Raymond Felton

There are two ways to look at a guy like Felton. One way is to say that well, with all that talent around him at North Carolina, it made things so easy for him! Just about anybody could have had nice assist numbers, surrounded by at least 3, if not 4 future NBA players. The other way to look at it is that it’s a point guard’s responsibility to bring out the best in him teammates – and that he certainly did. He got 4 players other than himself to average double-digit points, while finding enough shots to knock down 1.9 3’s and chip in 12.9 ppg himself.

I tend to look at things the second way. He’s put in three years in the ACC, and he played well against tough competition in leading the Heels to the national championship, so he knows what it’s like to be on the big stage. People might worry about the last ACC PG to come out in the draft after winning a title surrounded by a strong team – Jay Williams – but that was a much different scenario. I like Felton to be very effective very quickly.

Deron Williams

Williams and Felton have been pretty much ranked right next to each other all offseason, and there’s a reason for that. They’re pretty damn similar, from their experience to their stats to their success in college. Everything that was said about Felton could be said about Williams. The only thing that makes me bump Williams down just a little bit is that he’s already trying to reshape himself by losing some weight. I get a little worried about guys trying to change themselves when what they’ve been doing has worked pretty well. It’s not a huge concern, but when you’re as neck-and-neck with a guy as Williams is with Felton, it’s enough to place you at number two.

Jarrett Jack

The only other point guard who is near-lock for the first round, Jack could end up going anywhere from the middle to the end of the round. He’s a clear step down from the other two names on this list, but remember, other PGs taken recently at the end of the first round include guys like Tony Parker and Dan Dickau, who didn’t exactly light it up their rookie years, but have developed. Last year, Jameer Nelson went 20 and Delonte West went 24, and both showed signs of being fantasy worthy, with Nelson even getting onto a number of fantasy rosters last year as he progressed.

The issue for Jack isn’t really his talent level as much as where he would find a starting gig in the second half of the round. Miami, Utah, and Houston are the only ones who don’t have a lock starter at PG, and he might start but not get more than 25 mins in Miami or Houston, while Utah should take a PG with their first pick. Don’t expect much out of Jack this year, but he’ll be somebody we’ll be watching should he step in for an injured starter this year.

Draft Preview Pt. 2: The Tall Foreigners

Call it the Darko effect, if you must. Or the Tskitishvili effect, which I almost spelled right on the first try. But I’d like to think that at this point, fantasy players have learned their lesson when it comes to the tall foreigners. Just about every one of them has disappointed. Even Yao Ming hasn’t been as good as we had hoped – admit it, you expected him to at least be scoring 20 points or grabbing 10 rebounds by his 3rd year in the league. Some have been straight up busts, while others – Anderson Varejao, Nene Hilario, Andres Biedrins – have shown flashes and might be ready to break out in the next few years. Other than Yao, though, none of them have stepped in and really been a fantasy starter from day 1. Nonetheless, there are three guys who are supposed to be first round picks, so you should at least be aware of them. Here they are:

Tiago Splitter

Of the three foreign bigs we’re looking at today, Splitter is by far my favorite. He’s certainly not going to come in and contribute right away, but I think that given time he’s got PJ Brown-esque potential. One thing he can certainly do well is rebound. He’s seven feet tall, has a good feel for blocking out, and should be good for 6-7 rebounds a game if he gets 20 minutes of court time. One of the reasons I like Splitter is that the Brazilian who came into the league last year, Anderson Varejao, quickly became an FBB favorite with his scrappy play – and Splitter is apparently in the same mold, and much more highly regarded.

Best Case Scenario: Charlotte’s 2nd pick. Assuming they hold on to it (which is no sure thing), Charlotte would be a great spot for Tiago to go. He would get plenty of time at the 4, and could be as high as the third option on offense immediately.

Worst Case Scenario: Golden State. This is where foreign players go to under perform. While Michael Pietrus has shown flashes, Andres Biedrins, Zarko Cabarkapa, and the aforementioned Tskitishvili are all already on this roster. There’s just no room – but logic won’t stop the Warriors from drafting him.

Johan Petro

One thing that concerns me when reading about any draft prospect is when the majority of the talk is about his physical attributes, and this is something that I’ve come across plenty when reading about Petro. He’s got great size, he moves up and down the court really well, great. But then the truth comes out – his fundamentals aren’t very good. He doesn’t block out well. He doesn’t always have a great idea of what’s happening on the floor. He’s “raw”. He doesn’t have great intensity. He doesn’t have my seal of approval.

Best Case Scenario: Minnesota. Playing next to KG would be a huge benefit for this kid, and it’s not like Mark Madsen is going to keep him off the court.

Worst Case Scenario: LA Clippers. He’ll be sitting behind Chris Kaman, and they’ve got tons of guys who are shoot-first, so all the low-post shots will go to Elton Brand.

Fran Vazquez

Vazquez is a guy that, if I were an NBA GM, I wouldn’t draft until the end of the first round, but for some reason he’s getting some talk for the late lottery. Nonetheless, I’m not getting fooled, and neither should you. He’s 22 years old and still has a LOT of work to do on his offensive game. He’s supposedly a good shot-blocker, but also is pretty weak and gets banged around a lot inside. Offensively he apparently is working a lot on his outside shot because, obviously, he doesn’t like getting banged around on the inside. He hasn’t really dominated on any level.

Best/Worst Case Scenario: He’s not going to get much PT wherever he lands, so it’s kind of a moot point.

Draft Preview, Part 1

Ah, rookies. The true late-round gems in most NBA drafts are generally rookies. I’m a huge fan of taking a rookie in the final round of the draft. Two years ago, I took Dewyane Wade. Last year, I snagged Andre Iguodala. Other guys who coulda been had for a song at the start of last year included Josh Childress, Jameer Nelson, and Ben Gordon. Granted, Dwight Howard and Emeka Okafor likely went in the mid-rounds of your draft, but digging a little deeper down the draft board unveils a gem or two every year.

Over the next couple of weeks, we’re going to preview a number of the top projected picks in this year’s draft. But before we start, there are two things that you always need to keep in mind:

· Regardless of what we think of a player’s eventual potential, really we are only concerned about THIS year. For example, while we really liked Al Jefferson last year as a draft pick for the Celtics, he wasn’t going to make enough of a splash in his first year in the league to be worth drafting.

· A player’s ability to put up strong numbers is very closely tied to the situation they enter into. For example, last year Andre Iguodala was a good bet because the Sixers planned on plugging him into the lineup right away – and sure enough he averaged 30 mpg in his first month in the league. Meanwhile, Devin Harris had the potential to put up great numbers, but he ended up in Dallas, struggling for minutes behind about 80 other point guards.

So today, let’s look at the “Top 3″ – Andrew Bogut, Marvin Williams, and Chris Paul.

Andrew Bogut

Mark me down as a true Bogut believer. He’s got everything I look for in a fantasy prospect – he was a dominant team leader in school, he showed improvement from one year to the next, he’s played well against strong competition in the Olympics. He is apparently a strong passer, and he grabs enough offensive rebounds that he will score some points without having plays drawn up for him.

However, fantasy-wise, he does have a major downside. For a center, he doesn’t appear to be much of a shot-blocker. He swatted less than 2 shots per game last year, and that’s a number that will go down in his rookie year – just ask Emeka Okafor. That said, a center is a center, and if he gets 30-35 minutes a game, he’ll be worth a mid-round pick.

Best Case Scenario: Atlanta. He’ll instantly be a top scoring option, whereas in Milwaukee he’ll play second-fiddle to Michael Redd and Desmond Mason.

Worst Case Scenario: Portland. But nobody seems to think he’ll fall to them anyhow.

Marvin Williams

Red flags are popping up all over the place here. Williams is “raw”, “developing”, etc. Those are never good descriptions for a rookie, fantasy-wise. Now sure, a few years down the line he may be a total stud, but the fact is he wasn’t able to convince Roy Williams that he was a better option offensively than Sean May, Raymond Felton, Jawad Williams, or Rashad McCants. He saw less minutes and took less shots than all of those players. He had a 2.2/1 TO/Assist ratio, which is horrendous, and averaged 4.7 fouls per 40 minutes, meaning he was getting beat a lot on defense. Somebody is going to take him in the 8-10th rounds, just don’t let it be you.

Best Case Scenario: Milwaukee. It’s not like they’re tied to Joe Smith at PF, and they’re not winning anytime soon, so why not plug him into the starting lineup right away?

Worst Case Scenario: Atlanta. He’ll be fighting for time with the 80 other swingmen/forwards on the roster.

Chris Paul
My favorite line about Chris Paul is that he’s “the greatest point guard prospect since Jason Kidd.” Oh, how quickly we forget – just 3 years ago, Jason Williams was more heralded than Kidd ever was! and we all know how that turned out – 1 season, 9.5 points, 4.7 assists, and that was that. Still, there’s a lot to like about Paul. He’s a proven scorer, played against top competition with a good-but-not-super team around him, distributes the ball well and will get his hands on a couple steals. Given enough minutes, you’d have to think he’d be able to put up Kirk Hinrich-esque numbers his first year in the league.

Best Case Scenario: Charlotte. They need a consistent scoring threat, and have no answers at the point. Here’s hoping they move up a spot to take him.

Worst Case Scenario: Portland. Really, though, Portland is a worst-case scenario for everyone.