If there’s one thing that we’re terrible at here at FBB, it’s predicting NBA trades. Still, that doesn’t mean we don’t have our wish list of guys we’d like to see switch teams. Here are three of them. Who would YOU like to see dealt?
1. Stephon Marbury. Full disclosure: I’ve been a Marbury owner all year. But that doesn’t mean I can just stand by and watch his value drop without wishing he would be traded. When you look at it, though, his numbers aren’t all that down. Sure his 18.2 ppg are his lowest in 9 years, but it’s not that far off his 20.4 career average. Yes, his 6.9 apg are a career low, but it’s not all that bad. Still, they’re not the only problems. His steals, percentages, and most of all, his threes are down from last year.
My main problem is with the threes. The Knicks were expected to be among the leaders in 3PA this year after adding known chucker Quentin Richardson to Marbury and Jamal Crawford. But no! Larry Brown has all but eliminated three pointers from the Knicks system, as th ey’re actually putting up the third-least three’s in the league. All three of these guys have cut their 3PA in half, seriously hurting all of their value. Meanwhile, Marbury is stewing, injured (probably), and clearly unhappy, while the Knicks just added another guy who needs the ball all the time (Jalen Rose). This isn’t good for anyone – the Knicks, Marbury, or his fantasy owners. PLEASE trade Steph.
2. Theo Ratliff. Now, I know, his contract (11.6M each of the next two years) makes him nearly impossible to deal. But I’m not so much concerned with Theo getting more time – I’m interested in seeing Joel Przybilla get about 10 more mpg, which just isn’t happening with Ratliff on his back. Przybilla was extremely overvalued by many fantasy players heading into this year, and hit the waiver wires in many leagues as he wasn’t quite able to live up to his big surge late last year.
Still, his problem hasn’t been production as much as it’s been minutes. His per 35 minute stats - 9.1/9.7 with 3.5 blocks – are pretty similar to what Sam Dalembert has been doing in his breakout year with the Sixers. The problem hasn’t been foul trouble – his 2.7 fouls are pretty reasonable for a center and actually lower than last year’s 3.1. The only reason I can see for the Trail Blazers to hold back on Przybilla is because they’re paying Ratliff so much freaking money, they’ve got to play him. Free the Perz! PLEASE trade Theo.
3. Andres Nocioni. Nocioni has the potential to be an FBB fave, he just doesn’t get enough minutes to really have an impact. Part of the problem has been foul trouble – for example, he picked up 5 in just 21 minutes against the Hawks last week, and fouled out against Denver in just 18 minutes a few weeks back. But the other problem has been crazy Scott Skiles’ crazy lineup.
Admittedly, Skiles is just working with the hand he’s dealt. Of his 10 players who get consistent playing time, just three (Othella Harrington, Nocioni, and Jannero Pargo) are over 25 years old, and only Harrington and Tyson Chandler have played in the NBA for 4 or more years. There’s just a lot of talent in Chicago that hasn’t been defined yet, and Skiles is still trying to figure out what he’s got.
Nonetheless, fantasy owners don’t have time for patience. And at some point, Skiles and the GM Jim Paxson have to pick who’s going to be worth playing 35 minutes – and who’s going to get you some nice value in the trade market. We vote for packaging Nocioni with another player from their rotation (Mike Sweetney?) for a nice, bigger piece to their puzzle. PLEASE trade Andres.