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	<title>Comments on: Head-to-Head&#8217;s Up (2/20-2/26): Trade Deadline Edition</title>
	<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/</link>
	<description>A Fantasy Basketball Blog. Surprise.</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 30 Aug 2008 03:33:18 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>by: PR</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-878</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2006 01:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-878</guid>
					<description>JM,

Thanks for the concise question.  In a roto league your focus should be on BOTH maintaining your leads and working on your weaker categories.  That said, the short answer to your question is focus on STRIKING DISTANCE.  What categories are you at risk of losing significant ground in if multiple owners catch up and pass you?  What categories could you potentially leap frog more than one or two owners?  Keep an eye on all 9 cats and good luck!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JM,</p>
<p>Thanks for the concise question.  In a roto league your focus should be on BOTH maintaining your leads and working on your weaker categories.  That said, the short answer to your question is focus on STRIKING DISTANCE.  What categories are you at risk of losing significant ground in if multiple owners catch up and pass you?  What categories could you potentially leap frog more than one or two owners?  Keep an eye on all 9 cats and good luck!
</p>
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		<title>by: JM</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-877</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2006 22:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-877</guid>
					<description>Charlie,
Point taken regarding the long post. My conciseness/editing ability must've suffered since I had so much extra time on my hands (no NBA games for 4 straight days). My question was - how to decide whether to focus on improving at cats you're bad at vs, maintaing position in cats you're good at.

Bublitchiki,
Good question regarding the main beneficiary of an Al Harrington trade - J.Childress vs J.Smith.

They both should benefit. Just note that they have somewhat different skill sets. They both get similar amounts of Pts,Rebs,Asts.

Childress is MUCH better for FG%, TO, 3's, and a little better for FT%.

While Smith is MUCH better for blocks.

So, i'd say go with Childress, unless  blocks are a major need for your team.

ps As a Childress owner, I can tell you that he's been much more consistent throughout the year, whereas Smith has been very up &#38; down.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Charlie,<br />
Point taken regarding the long post. My conciseness/editing ability must&#8217;ve suffered since I had so much extra time on my hands (no NBA games for 4 straight days). My question was - how to decide whether to focus on improving at cats you&#8217;re bad at vs, maintaing position in cats you&#8217;re good at.</p>
<p>Bublitchiki,<br />
Good question regarding the main beneficiary of an Al Harrington trade - J.Childress vs J.Smith.</p>
<p>They both should benefit. Just note that they have somewhat different skill sets. They both get similar amounts of Pts,Rebs,Asts.</p>
<p>Childress is MUCH better for FG%, TO, 3&#8217;s, and a little better for FT%.</p>
<p>While Smith is MUCH better for blocks.</p>
<p>So, i&#8217;d say go with Childress, unless  blocks are a major need for your team.</p>
<p>ps As a Childress owner, I can tell you that he&#8217;s been much more consistent throughout the year, whereas Smith has been very up &amp; down.
</p>
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		<title>by: Charlie</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-876</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2006 21:51:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-876</guid>
					<description>Bublitchki,

I also have Wade to go along with those other studs!  Plus dimes are worth the most in my league, which is the biggest reason I'm in 2nd out of 12 right now.  I actually scooped up Felton before everyone else, and I'm thinking about playing both of them.  Thoughts?  Will Brevin be worthy of starting on another team?  I think Felton's a potential stud for the 2nd half.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bublitchki,</p>
<p>I also have Wade to go along with those other studs!  Plus dimes are worth the most in my league, which is the biggest reason I&#8217;m in 2nd out of 12 right now.  I actually scooped up Felton before everyone else, and I&#8217;m thinking about playing both of them.  Thoughts?  Will Brevin be worthy of starting on another team?  I think Felton&#8217;s a potential stud for the 2nd half.
</p>
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		<title>by: bublitchki</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-875</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2006 21:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-875</guid>
					<description>With just three days left until the trade deadline, there are so many rumors buzzing about that it's hard to separate the wheat from the chaff.

One rumor that I actually think has a good chance of going down is a Hawks trade of Al Harrington. Baby Al will be a free agent after this season and he's all but said that he's not interested in re-signing with Atlanta next year. So it would certainly seem to behoove the Hawks to get whatever they can for him while he's still under contract. 

My question: Which of the two Joshes do you think would have the most value in the event of a Harrington trade? I currently have J. Smith on my roster, while J. Childress is sitting on the waiver wire. Because of the way my roster is currently structured, I can keep one or the other but not both. Any thoughts?

To charlie:

Dude, you must be the king o'dimes if you've got Knight, Paul and Chauncey all on your roster. Of those three, I'd definitley hang on to Chauncey as I don't really see him tailing off much. The recent trade of Arroyo only solidifies his position and all but assures that he'll receive decent minutes going forward. I'd try and sell high on Paul, though. Even if you don't subscribe to the "rookie wall" theory, I'm not sure how well he'll bounce back from his recent spate of nagging injuries. As I've said in earlier posts, I actually think that he could easily be out-produced by his fellow ACC rookie Ray Felton from here on out (especially if Knight does get dealt).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With just three days left until the trade deadline, there are so many rumors buzzing about that it&#8217;s hard to separate the wheat from the chaff.</p>
<p>One rumor that I actually think has a good chance of going down is a Hawks trade of Al Harrington. Baby Al will be a free agent after this season and he&#8217;s all but said that he&#8217;s not interested in re-signing with Atlanta next year. So it would certainly seem to behoove the Hawks to get whatever they can for him while he&#8217;s still under contract. </p>
<p>My question: Which of the two Joshes do you think would have the most value in the event of a Harrington trade? I currently have J. Smith on my roster, while J. Childress is sitting on the waiver wire. Because of the way my roster is currently structured, I can keep one or the other but not both. Any thoughts?</p>
<p>To charlie:</p>
<p>Dude, you must be the king o&#8217;dimes if you&#8217;ve got Knight, Paul and Chauncey all on your roster. Of those three, I&#8217;d definitley hang on to Chauncey as I don&#8217;t really see him tailing off much. The recent trade of Arroyo only solidifies his position and all but assures that he&#8217;ll receive decent minutes going forward. I&#8217;d try and sell high on Paul, though. Even if you don&#8217;t subscribe to the &#8220;rookie wall&#8221; theory, I&#8217;m not sure how well he&#8217;ll bounce back from his recent spate of nagging injuries. As I&#8217;ve said in earlier posts, I actually think that he could easily be out-produced by his fellow ACC rookie Ray Felton from here on out (especially if Knight does get dealt).
</p>
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		<title>by: Charlie</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-874</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2006 20:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-874</guid>
					<description>To JM, 
If you want people to offer advice, remember to keep your questions neat, quick, and answerable.  I saw all of the stats and analysis in your email and decided I could better use my time elsewhere.  Maybe the guys running the website will be kinder.

To all, what are your thoughts on Brevin Knight right now?  The most underrated fantasy player in basketball (in my opinion) may land on a new team.  I think a new team can only hurt his stats.  He runs the show in Charlotte, would he do the same at, say LA?  I'm just looking for the same 8-12 assist/night performances I've been getting in Charlotte, with perhaps 10 pts/night.  

Also, should I move Chauncey and Chris Paul?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To JM,<br />
If you want people to offer advice, remember to keep your questions neat, quick, and answerable.  I saw all of the stats and analysis in your email and decided I could better use my time elsewhere.  Maybe the guys running the website will be kinder.</p>
<p>To all, what are your thoughts on Brevin Knight right now?  The most underrated fantasy player in basketball (in my opinion) may land on a new team.  I think a new team can only hurt his stats.  He runs the show in Charlotte, would he do the same at, say LA?  I&#8217;m just looking for the same 8-12 assist/night performances I&#8217;ve been getting in Charlotte, with perhaps 10 pts/night.  </p>
<p>Also, should I move Chauncey and Chris Paul?
</p>
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		<title>by: JM</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-873</link>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2006 03:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-873</guid>
					<description>This is my first time doing fantasy Basketball, so I've got a strategy question. I'm in a 12-team, 9-cat roto league. I'm currently in first place. If you factor in games played (sort our league by average stats/game instead of totals) I'm at 79 points. 2nd place is at 74 points, third place at 66. 

My question: when making roster decisions should I focus on the categories that I'm already good at (but have a lot of folks close behind me) vs. trying to improve in the categories that I'm worst at (but have people within reach just above me).

My good cats:
FG% 1st place
Stl 2nd place
Blk 2nd place
Pts Tied 2nd
Reb Tied 2nd
Ast 4th place

Not as good cats:
TO 10th place
3's 7th place
FT 7th place

My first thought was to focus on improving by "bad" cats, but now I'm thinking it'd be smarter to focus on maintaining position in my good cats.  

My new reasoning is that I've got more to lose in my good cats than I have to gain in my bad cats. Does that make sense?
For example,
FG% - 4 teams right behind me (within .003%)
Ast - 4 teams right behind me (within 0.07/game)
Stls - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.07/g)
Pts - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.7/g)
Rbs - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.12/g)

whereas for by bad cats:

TO - 2 teams right ahead of me (within 0.7/g)
3's - 2 teams right ahead of me (within 0.05/g)
FT%- 1 team right ahead of me (within .004%)

Am I on the right train of thought?
Would you call this strategy conservative? or would you call it a smart strategy for someone in first place?

My hope is that it will keep me in first the rest of the way (barring a major injury to one of my studs - Brand,Arenas,Pierce)

My roster:
PG Gilbert Arenas
SG Paul Pierce
G Luke Ridnour
SF Richard Jefferson
PF Elton Brand
F Josh Howard
C Sammy Dalembert
C Tyson Chandler
UTIL Mike James
UTIL Josh Childress
BN Brian Cook
BN Kendrick Perkins
BN Darius Miles</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is my first time doing fantasy Basketball, so I&#8217;ve got a strategy question. I&#8217;m in a 12-team, 9-cat roto league. I&#8217;m currently in first place. If you factor in games played (sort our league by average stats/game instead of totals) I&#8217;m at 79 points. 2nd place is at 74 points, third place at 66. </p>
<p>My question: when making roster decisions should I focus on the categories that I&#8217;m already good at (but have a lot of folks close behind me) vs. trying to improve in the categories that I&#8217;m worst at (but have people within reach just above me).</p>
<p>My good cats:<br />
FG% 1st place<br />
Stl 2nd place<br />
Blk 2nd place<br />
Pts Tied 2nd<br />
Reb Tied 2nd<br />
Ast 4th place</p>
<p>Not as good cats:<br />
TO 10th place<br />
3&#8217;s 7th place<br />
FT 7th place</p>
<p>My first thought was to focus on improving by &#8220;bad&#8221; cats, but now I&#8217;m thinking it&#8217;d be smarter to focus on maintaining position in my good cats.  </p>
<p>My new reasoning is that I&#8217;ve got more to lose in my good cats than I have to gain in my bad cats. Does that make sense?<br />
For example,<br />
FG% - 4 teams right behind me (within .003%)<br />
Ast - 4 teams right behind me (within 0.07/game)<br />
Stls - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.07/g)<br />
Pts - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.7/g)<br />
Rbs - 3 teams right behind me (within 0.12/g)</p>
<p>whereas for by bad cats:</p>
<p>TO - 2 teams right ahead of me (within 0.7/g)<br />
3&#8217;s - 2 teams right ahead of me (within 0.05/g)<br />
FT%- 1 team right ahead of me (within .004%)</p>
<p>Am I on the right train of thought?<br />
Would you call this strategy conservative? or would you call it a smart strategy for someone in first place?</p>
<p>My hope is that it will keep me in first the rest of the way (barring a major injury to one of my studs - Brand,Arenas,Pierce)</p>
<p>My roster:<br />
PG Gilbert Arenas<br />
SG Paul Pierce<br />
G Luke Ridnour<br />
SF Richard Jefferson<br />
PF Elton Brand<br />
F Josh Howard<br />
C Sammy Dalembert<br />
C Tyson Chandler<br />
UTIL Mike James<br />
UTIL Josh Childress<br />
BN Brian Cook<br />
BN Kendrick Perkins<br />
BN Darius Miles
</p>
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		<title>by: bublitchki</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-872</link>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Feb 2006 21:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-872</guid>
					<description>Hey; I'm not saying that Darko could never become a good NBA player.

I was just questioning the wisdom of plugging him into next week's starting lineup.

It is, of course, entirely possible that he could someday develop into a good player a la Jermaine O'Neal, but I very much doubt that it will happen by next week. There certainly would seem to be better (less risky) options at the center spot. 

In my own case, for example, I'm faced with having to choose two centers to start in my weekly H2H league. The centers currently on  my roster are: Brad Miller (2 games), Magloire (4 games), and Perkins (maybe 4 games, maybe not). I'm definitely going to start Magloire, but the second center is problematic. I've ruled out Perkins because of the injury risk and Miller's two games make him a marginal play at best. Right now, the centers with four games on the waiver wire Milicic, Wilcox, and Robert Swift. Each option has its drawbacks, yes, but Darko seems to have the most of all. Personally, I'm leaning toward picking up Wilcox and using him as my second center. Yes, he's also a risky play, but at least he's shown he can produce when given the minutes. It's just a question of whether or not he'll get them.

PR is absolutely correct when he points out that we are all engaged in a form of gambling here. But there are calculated risks and there are desperation longshot flyers. Putting Darko in the lineup next week strikes me as one of the latter; the fantasy hoops equivalent of betting your last two bucks on a 100-1 shot in the ninth at Aqueduct with the hopes of breaking even for a day in which you've lost $200.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey; I&#8217;m not saying that Darko could never become a good NBA player.</p>
<p>I was just questioning the wisdom of plugging him into next week&#8217;s starting lineup.</p>
<p>It is, of course, entirely possible that he could someday develop into a good player a la Jermaine O&#8217;Neal, but I very much doubt that it will happen by next week. There certainly would seem to be better (less risky) options at the center spot. </p>
<p>In my own case, for example, I&#8217;m faced with having to choose two centers to start in my weekly H2H league. The centers currently on  my roster are: Brad Miller (2 games), Magloire (4 games), and Perkins (maybe 4 games, maybe not). I&#8217;m definitely going to start Magloire, but the second center is problematic. I&#8217;ve ruled out Perkins because of the injury risk and Miller&#8217;s two games make him a marginal play at best. Right now, the centers with four games on the waiver wire Milicic, Wilcox, and Robert Swift. Each option has its drawbacks, yes, but Darko seems to have the most of all. Personally, I&#8217;m leaning toward picking up Wilcox and using him as my second center. Yes, he&#8217;s also a risky play, but at least he&#8217;s shown he can produce when given the minutes. It&#8217;s just a question of whether or not he&#8217;ll get them.</p>
<p>PR is absolutely correct when he points out that we are all engaged in a form of gambling here. But there are calculated risks and there are desperation longshot flyers. Putting Darko in the lineup next week strikes me as one of the latter; the fantasy hoops equivalent of betting your last two bucks on a 100-1 shot in the ninth at Aqueduct with the hopes of breaking even for a day in which you&#8217;ve lost $200.
</p>
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		<title>by: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-871</link>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Feb 2006 14:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-871</guid>
					<description>What are you guys' strategy for the remaining games?

I am currently 4th /12. I am behind in rebounds and blks nut good in assists. 

I just compared my "last month average" against my current "overall statistics" and my "last month average" is above "overall statistics. So, my roster is at least playing good right now. Seems no need to disturb the chemistry.

BTW, what should be the comparable trade target for my Ridnour. I want to trade Ridnour for rebounds and blks</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What are you guys&#8217; strategy for the remaining games?</p>
<p>I am currently 4th /12. I am behind in rebounds and blks nut good in assists. </p>
<p>I just compared my &#8220;last month average&#8221; against my current &#8220;overall statistics&#8221; and my &#8220;last month average&#8221; is above &#8220;overall statistics. So, my roster is at least playing good right now. Seems no need to disturb the chemistry.</p>
<p>BTW, what should be the comparable trade target for my Ridnour. I want to trade Ridnour for rebounds and blks
</p>
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		<title>by: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-870</link>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Feb 2006 08:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-870</guid>
					<description>Exactly... just look at Jermaine Oneal as an example?! 

First 3 years with Portland he averaged unspectacular numbers...

11 mins, 4 points, 3boards, 0.3 ast, 0.4 blks?!

Then once he moved to IND, and got playing time he blew up into the all-star that he is.

I'm hoping like so many that Darko will make the leap!!  For crying out loud he's only 20 years old?!!!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Exactly&#8230; just look at Jermaine Oneal as an example?! </p>
<p>First 3 years with Portland he averaged unspectacular numbers&#8230;</p>
<p>11 mins, 4 points, 3boards, 0.3 ast, 0.4 blks?!</p>
<p>Then once he moved to IND, and got playing time he blew up into the all-star that he is.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m hoping like so many that Darko will make the leap!!  For crying out loud he&#8217;s only 20 years old?!!!
</p>
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		<title>by: PR</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-869</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Feb 2006 21:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/02/17/head-to-heads-up-220-226-trade-deadline-edition/#comment-869</guid>
					<description>Let me clear something up... Darko is by no means a sure thing in Orlando.  But, he NEVER came close to having a chance in Detroit.  You think Brown/Saunders were willing to give a European teenager big minutes when they had Big Ben and Rasheed manning the frontcourt??
Also, keep in mind that all the guys I recommend plugging in each week are typically borderline fantasy starters in competitive leagues.  Assuming your 12-team league starts two centers, Darko is a legitimate option with the Magic playing 4 games next week.  I'm not suggesting he's a no-brainer, but I would say if your second Center is shaky then Darko is a better play than the likes of Kendrick Perkins (may miss a couple more w/ injury), Foyle (3 games), Blount(3), Nesterovic(3), Mourning(2), and Kurt Thomas(2).
If you don't have much to lose, why not roll the dice and plug Darko in right away?  Surely coach Brian Hill and Orlando's front office will want to give him every opportunity to succeed ASAP.  They'd love nothing more than to prove that the Pistons were wrong to give up on him.
Bottom line is... you cannot label a 20-year-old who's only been given 5.8 minutes per game in three years a "bust."  Not yet. The least you should do is pick him up and keep him on your bench until you see how he responds in his new environment.  Remember you gotta take some chances in fantasy sports... isn't it just gambling anyway?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let me clear something up&#8230; Darko is by no means a sure thing in Orlando.  But, he NEVER came close to having a chance in Detroit.  You think Brown/Saunders were willing to give a European teenager big minutes when they had Big Ben and Rasheed manning the frontcourt??<br />
Also, keep in mind that all the guys I recommend plugging in each week are typically borderline fantasy starters in competitive leagues.  Assuming your 12-team league starts two centers, Darko is a legitimate option with the Magic playing 4 games next week.  I&#8217;m not suggesting he&#8217;s a no-brainer, but I would say if your second Center is shaky then Darko is a better play than the likes of Kendrick Perkins (may miss a couple more w/ injury), Foyle (3 games), Blount(3), Nesterovic(3), Mourning(2), and Kurt Thomas(2).<br />
If you don&#8217;t have much to lose, why not roll the dice and plug Darko in right away?  Surely coach Brian Hill and Orlando&#8217;s front office will want to give him every opportunity to succeed ASAP.  They&#8217;d love nothing more than to prove that the Pistons were wrong to give up on him.<br />
Bottom line is&#8230; you cannot label a 20-year-old who&#8217;s only been given 5.8 minutes per game in three years a &#8220;bust.&#8221;  Not yet. The least you should do is pick him up and keep him on your bench until you see how he responds in his new environment.  Remember you gotta take some chances in fantasy sports&#8230; isn&#8217;t it just gambling anyway?
</p>
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