Comments on: Who’s Number One? http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/ A Fantasy Basketball Blog. Surprise. Tue, 02 Dec 2008 00:44:24 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.4 by: bv http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1062 Thu, 31 Aug 2006 18:23:06 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1062 Rook- Catching up mid-season and catching up late in the draft are two TOTALLY different things. I think KG's best stats (reb, blocks) can be picked up later in the draft (as in, the middle rounds, not necesssarily towards the very end). I will completely agree with you about percentages, if onnly because it's almost imposisble to figure out exactly what sort of impact a guy's FT% will have on your team. with blocks, a block is a block is a block. but with percentages, you have so much to consider - his %, how often he gets to the line, how often the rest of your team gets to the line and their percentage - that it's REALLY tough to tell the level of impact one guys will have. Rook-
Catching up mid-season and catching up late in the draft are two TOTALLY different things. I think KG’s best stats (reb, blocks) can be picked up later in the draft (as in, the middle rounds, not necesssarily towards the very end).
I will completely agree with you about percentages, if onnly because it’s almost imposisble to figure out exactly what sort of impact a guy’s FT% will have on your team. with blocks, a block is a block is a block. but with percentages, you have so much to consider - his %, how often he gets to the line, how often the rest of your team gets to the line and their percentage - that it’s REALLY tough to tell the level of impact one guys will have.

]]> by: bv http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1061 Thu, 31 Aug 2006 18:17:11 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1061 FBA Junkie: I'd love to throw brand in the mix but i think he may have overperformed last year. He's a legit first round pick for sure, but I don't think anyone will consider him for number one. As for Kobe, that's a different story - he was the toughest one to leave off this list. But here's my reasoning. If you have a choice between him and LeBron, lebron will be the pick (regardless of final numbers last year). The reason the four that made it did was because they're all different types of players, whereas kobe and lebron are the same "type," if that makes any sense. FBA Junkie:
I’d love to throw brand in the mix but i think he may have overperformed last year. He’s a legit first round pick for sure, but I don’t think anyone will consider him for number one.
As for Kobe, that’s a different story - he was the toughest one to leave off this list. But here’s my reasoning. If you have a choice between him and LeBron, lebron will be the pick (regardless of final numbers last year). The reason the four that made it did was because they’re all different types of players, whereas kobe and lebron are the same “type,” if that makes any sense.

]]> by: Rook http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1060 Wed, 30 Aug 2006 22:45:27 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1060 You mentioned that KG’s good categories are easiest to find late in the draft. I’d really like to hear your definitive thoughts on this topic more generally: which categories are easiest and hardest to catch up in late in the draft and mid-season? (Don’t mean to steal your thunder if this is going to be a column topic later on, or throughout the year - I hope it is.) I figure that if taking steps to catch up in one category tends to hurt another (i.e., maybe there are always big men available on the wire with 8 rebounds/gm, but they tend to also be 50% FT shooters), then that category is “harder” to catch up in. With (only) one season of hoops under my belt, my impression is this: 1. (hardest cat to catch up in) FT%: the guys with the FT attempts to actually affect your percentage are never available, though grabbing a bunch of Delonte Wests with 80% on 3 attempts does help. 2. FG%: for the same reason, though random big guys are often on the wire (last year there were Wilcox and Perkins for parts of the season). 3. AST 4. BLK: Scarce category and shot-blockers who don’t murder your other categories are all gone fast. Adonal Foyle is always owned by an unhappy owner. 5. TO: low-TO guys are always available, but they are sometimes low-minutes guys who don’t add much else, or big men who only rebound. 6. Scoring: You guys consistently say that it’s the easiest to catch up in, but I don’t know… the regulars who score 15+/gm are drafted early. Scoring is valued highly by the average owner. And if a role player explodes for 20, he’s often snatched up. Maybe I’m wrong? 7. REB 8. ST 9. 3PT (easiest): some shooting guard who chucks 1.5 threes and doesn’t hurt you elsewhere is usually available (someone like Posey) You mentioned that KG’s good categories are easiest to find late in the draft. I’d really like to hear your definitive thoughts on this topic more generally: which categories are easiest and hardest to catch up in late in the draft and mid-season? (Don’t mean to steal your thunder if this is going to be a column topic later on, or throughout the year - I hope it is.)

I figure that if taking steps to catch up in one category tends to hurt another (i.e., maybe there are always big men available on the wire with 8 rebounds/gm, but they tend to also be 50% FT shooters), then that category is “harder” to catch up in.

With (only) one season of hoops under my belt, my impression is this:
1. (hardest cat to catch up in) FT%: the guys with the FT attempts to actually affect your percentage are never available, though grabbing a bunch of Delonte Wests with 80% on 3 attempts does help.
2. FG%: for the same reason, though random big guys are often on the wire (last year there were Wilcox and Perkins for parts of the season).
3. AST
4. BLK: Scarce category and shot-blockers who don’t murder your other categories are all gone fast. Adonal Foyle is always owned by an unhappy owner.
5. TO: low-TO guys are always available, but they are sometimes low-minutes guys who don’t add much else, or big men who only rebound.
6. Scoring: You guys consistently say that it’s the easiest to catch up in, but I don’t know… the regulars who score 15+/gm are drafted early. Scoring is valued highly by the average owner. And if a role player explodes for 20, he’s often snatched up. Maybe I’m wrong?
7. REB
8. ST
9. 3PT (easiest): some shooting guard who chucks 1.5 threes and doesn’t hurt you elsewhere is usually available (someone like Posey)

]]> by: fbajunkie http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1058 Wed, 30 Aug 2006 15:10:38 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1058 James's improvement is tied to FT%. If he could get his FT% in the high 70s and increase the volume, then he could improve his scoring without substantially cutting into FG%. James’s improvement is tied to FT%. If he could get his FT% in the high 70s and increase the volume, then he could improve his scoring without substantially cutting into FG%.

]]> by: fbajunkie http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1057 Wed, 30 Aug 2006 15:01:59 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1057 Need to consider Brand and Kobe in this mix. rank brID FGPR FTPR TPMPR REBPR ASTPR STLPR BLKPR PTSPR PRTOTAL 1 MARIOSH01 3.20 0.73 0.94 3.48 -0.16 3.16 2.48 2.06 14.96 2 BRANDEL01 3.48 0.59 -0.85 2.56 0.29 0.76 4.07 2.44 14.19 3 GARNEKE01 2.84 1.22 -0.72 3.52 0.98 1.46 1.74 1.82 13.58 4 WADEDW01 1.87 1.12 -0.63 0.61 2.33 2.74 0.52 2.62 11.80 5 NOWITDI01 1.28 3.77 1.20 2.23 0.42 0.06 1.14 2.85 11.74 6 BRYANKO01 -0.47 3.41 2.52 0.58 1.34 2.77 -0.17 4.26 11.71 7 JAMESLE01 1.48 -0.39 1.52 1.29 2.46 2.04 0.72 3.53 11.13 Need to consider Brand and Kobe in this mix.

rank brID FGPR FTPR TPMPR REBPR ASTPR STLPR BLKPR PTSPR PRTOTAL
1 MARIOSH01 3.20 0.73 0.94 3.48 -0.16 3.16 2.48 2.06 14.96
2 BRANDEL01 3.48 0.59 -0.85 2.56 0.29 0.76 4.07 2.44 14.19
3 GARNEKE01 2.84 1.22 -0.72 3.52 0.98 1.46 1.74 1.82 13.58
4 WADEDW01 1.87 1.12 -0.63 0.61 2.33 2.74 0.52 2.62 11.80
5 NOWITDI01 1.28 3.77 1.20 2.23 0.42 0.06 1.14 2.85 11.74
6 BRYANKO01 -0.47 3.41 2.52 0.58 1.34 2.77 -0.17 4.26 11.71
7 JAMESLE01 1.48 -0.39 1.52 1.29 2.46 2.04 0.72 3.53 11.13

]]> by: bv http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1055 Fri, 25 Aug 2006 13:00:48 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1055 peja, I can't imagine that Kurt Thomas will play any more minutes than Steven Hunter did two years ago. He's 34 years old, injury prone and, honestly, not really all that good of a fit for Phoenix. But it's thinking like that which might allow Marion to slip out of the top 3, making him an absolute steal at 4 or later. peja, I can’t imagine that Kurt Thomas will play any more minutes than Steven Hunter did two years ago. He’s 34 years old, injury prone and, honestly, not really all that good of a fit for Phoenix. But it’s thinking like that which might allow Marion to slip out of the top 3, making him an absolute steal at 4 or later.

]]> by: Peja http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1054 Fri, 25 Aug 2006 02:12:10 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/08/24/whos-number-one/#comment-1054 Have you heard anything regarding which position Amare will play? If Kurt Thomas starts at C and Amare at PF, then its logical to expect Marion to start at SF and as a result his rebouding and block numbers would take a serious hit. This would cause him to drop out of top-pick contention in my opinion, despite the fact that his 3's would probably increase. However if Amare returns at the C position, there wouldn't be much of a problem. Have you heard anything regarding which position Amare will play? If Kurt Thomas starts at C and Amare at PF, then its logical to expect Marion to start at SF and as a result his rebouding and block numbers would take a serious hit. This would cause him to drop out of top-pick contention in my opinion, despite the fact that his 3’s would probably increase.
However if Amare returns at the C position, there wouldn’t be much of a problem.

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