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	<title>Comments on: 2006 Fantasy Tiers: Small Forward</title>
	<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/</link>
	<description>A Fantasy Basketball Blog. Surprise.</description>
	<pubDate>Tue, 19 Aug 2008 22:27:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>by: Kir</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-129933</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jul 2008 06:43:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-129933</guid>
					<description>&lt;a href="http://videodenoeliacom.handsa" rel="nofollow"&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://videodenoeliacom.handsa" rel="nofollow">
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		<title>by: Kir</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-108379</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 04:42:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-108379</guid>
					<description>&lt;a href="http://mugencharacterichigo.threesa" rel="nofollow"&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mugencharacterichigo.threesa" rel="nofollow">
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		<title>by: Kir</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-59618</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2008 14:41:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-59618</guid>
					<description>&lt;a href="http://honeywellth6220dsetup.doescool.info/" rel="nofollow"&gt;honeywell t</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://honeywellth6220dsetup.doescool.info/" rel="nofollow">honeywell t
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		<title>by: Petros</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-19798</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Sep 2007 14:33:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-19798</guid>
					<description>Nice</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice
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		<title>by: bv</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1239</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Oct 2006 00:36:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1239</guid>
					<description>min - exactly, 10 starters, so everything after that qualifies as bench.  as for jamison ... i just think he overperformed last year, it's that simple.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>min - exactly, 10 starters, so everything after that qualifies as bench.  as for jamison &#8230; i just think he overperformed last year, it&#8217;s that simple.
</p>
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		<title>by: DM</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1238</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Oct 2006 19:14:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1238</guid>
					<description>Gerald Wallace and Josh Smith ... here's the thing with these guys. Sure, if everything goes right they could be top 15 players this year. That's the absolutely ceiling, though. But there are so many sure things out there that it's still a sizeable risk taking them early. And in a 12-team league, someone will probably take the plunge and grab them by the end of the third round. So even if they fulfill the highest expectations, they still aren't returning that much above value. Third round isn't the time to pick sleepers, really. Find the guy in the 7th round who might finish in the top 35, much more value there, IMO.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gerald Wallace and Josh Smith &#8230; here&#8217;s the thing with these guys. Sure, if everything goes right they could be top 15 players this year. That&#8217;s the absolutely ceiling, though. But there are so many sure things out there that it&#8217;s still a sizeable risk taking them early. And in a 12-team league, someone will probably take the plunge and grab them by the end of the third round. So even if they fulfill the highest expectations, they still aren&#8217;t returning that much above value. Third round isn&#8217;t the time to pick sleepers, really. Find the guy in the 7th round who might finish in the top 35, much more value there, IMO.
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		<title>by: Rook</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1237</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Oct 2006 18:36:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1237</guid>
					<description>This position (probably because it's so big) has so many of the big questions everyone's thinking about for their drafts: McGrady, Josh Smith, Kirilenko, G-Wall.  I like how you've conceptualized it -- take a risk on one of them if you want, but probably only one, and then surround them with solid players.  

Also really like your Tier 3 discussion on position scarcity.  Makes sense for how it works in practice on draft day.

Why are you lower on Jamison this year -- just him coming back down to earth, or has something changed for the Wizards?  Was what he did last year at all predictable?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This position (probably because it&#8217;s so big) has so many of the big questions everyone&#8217;s thinking about for their drafts: McGrady, Josh Smith, Kirilenko, G-Wall.  I like how you&#8217;ve conceptualized it &#8212; take a risk on one of them if you want, but probably only one, and then surround them with solid players.  </p>
<p>Also really like your Tier 3 discussion on position scarcity.  Makes sense for how it works in practice on draft day.</p>
<p>Why are you lower on Jamison this year &#8212; just him coming back down to earth, or has something changed for the Wizards?  Was what he did last year at all predictable?
</p>
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		<title>by: Min</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1236</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Oct 2006 16:22:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1236</guid>
					<description>when you talk about 'bench' players, do you mean bench for basic, start 10-11 leagues?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>when you talk about &#8216;bench&#8217; players, do you mean bench for basic, start 10-11 leagues?
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		<title>by: bv</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1235</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Oct 2006 16:18:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1235</guid>
					<description>swami - it's all about risk with gerald wallace.  well, risk and FT%.  as for smith, i dunno, i just don't consider him a 'sure thing' yet like i do with melo and rashard lewis.

kali - marvin williams probably is too high, same with SAR, but their ceilings are both probably higher than anybody on the next tier.  as for morrison, i envision him having ben gordon-esque numbers, and this is where i'd put ben gordon.

jm - correct on RJ, i'll fix that in a sec.  and jamison, i don't see him having the same boards or treys that he did last year, but i hope you're right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>swami - it&#8217;s all about risk with gerald wallace.  well, risk and FT%.  as for smith, i dunno, i just don&#8217;t consider him a &#8217;sure thing&#8217; yet like i do with melo and rashard lewis.</p>
<p>kali - marvin williams probably is too high, same with SAR, but their ceilings are both probably higher than anybody on the next tier.  as for morrison, i envision him having ben gordon-esque numbers, and this is where i&#8217;d put ben gordon.</p>
<p>jm - correct on RJ, i&#8217;ll fix that in a sec.  and jamison, i don&#8217;t see him having the same boards or treys that he did last year, but i hope you&#8217;re right.
</p>
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		<title>by: JM</title>
		<link>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1234</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Oct 2006 15:56:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/18/2006-fantasy-tiers-small-forward/#comment-1234</guid>
					<description>I'd put Jamison and G.Wallace into the same tier as Peja and Artest. Josh Smith I'm not sure about, since his %'s are so bad.

I think you forgot about Richard Jefferson, who I'd put into tier 3 as well (right after Carmelo). Too many SF's too keep track of 'em all...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;d put Jamison and G.Wallace into the same tier as Peja and Artest. Josh Smith I&#8217;m not sure about, since his %&#8217;s are so bad.</p>
<p>I think you forgot about Richard Jefferson, who I&#8217;d put into tier 3 as well (right after Carmelo). Too many SF&#8217;s too keep track of &#8216;em all&#8230;
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