Comments on: Award Predictions http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/ A Fantasy Basketball Blog. Surprise. Fri, 04 Jul 2008 12:17:13 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.4 by: merry http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-92303 Mon, 23 Jun 2008 05:01:57 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-92303 zRQJwz df1zv853gvrvb7gv94gmlas zRQJwz df1zv853gvrvb7gv94gmlas

]]> by: Fantasy Basketblog » Blog Archive » What Can We Learn From Starbury’s Season? http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-3647 Mon, 05 Mar 2007 15:02:17 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-3647 [...] It’s been an obviously wacky fantasy basketball campaign, and one of the wackiest seasons has been turned in by Stephon Marbury. With just a bit more than a month to go, it’s getting to the point where it’s hard to give too much advice on what you should do with your team. We’ll of course be telling you free agents to look for to help put you over the top, but I also think it’s important to use the last month of the season to reflect on lessons to be learned for future seasons. So let’s take a look at Marbury. Coming into the season, I was very high on Steph. I thought he would be the comeback star of the year and backed up my talk by taking him in the 4th round of my draft with the 45th overall pick. Needless to say, I was not too happy with this decision a month into the season. He was confused as to what his role with the team was, wasn’t his usual aggressive self and it all bottomed out on Nov. 25 when he didn’t even attempt a single shot in 19 minutes in a 106-95 loss at Chicago. He was being cut in many leagues but it just wasn’t something I could advise and we’ll make that the first lesson. [...] […] It’s been an obviously wacky fantasy basketball campaign, and one of the wackiest seasons has been turned in by Stephon Marbury. With just a bit more than a month to go, it’s getting to the point where it’s hard to give too much advice on what you should do with your team. We’ll of course be telling you free agents to look for to help put you over the top, but I also think it’s important to use the last month of the season to reflect on lessons to be learned for future seasons. So let’s take a look at Marbury. Coming into the season, I was very high on Steph. I thought he would be the comeback star of the year and backed up my talk by taking him in the 4th round of my draft with the 45th overall pick. Needless to say, I was not too happy with this decision a month into the season. He was confused as to what his role with the team was, wasn’t his usual aggressive self and it all bottomed out on Nov. 25 when he didn’t even attempt a single shot in 19 minutes in a 106-95 loss at Chicago. He was being cut in many leagues but it just wasn’t something I could advise and we’ll make that the first lesson. […]

]]> by: DM http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1308 Tue, 31 Oct 2006 13:39:25 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1308 Jeremy basically said what I was going to say about Roy/Gay. There are certain teams I just don't trust, and Portland is one of them. Also, everyone and their mom is picking Roy for ROY, so I figured I'd go out on a slight limb just to make things interesting. As for other topics ... I'd go with Bogut over Swift as long as he's starting, which appears to be the case. Swift's the one that needs to prove it. Tough to make a case for JR Smith as Comeback Star. Comeback from what? I was mainly considering guys that used to be very early picks. Smith's in a good situation, but I'm still skeptical. Jeremy basically said what I was going to say about Roy/Gay. There are certain teams I just don’t trust, and Portland is one of them. Also, everyone and their mom is picking Roy for ROY, so I figured I’d go out on a slight limb just to make things interesting.

As for other topics … I’d go with Bogut over Swift as long as he’s starting, which appears to be the case. Swift’s the one that needs to prove it.

Tough to make a case for JR Smith as Comeback Star. Comeback from what? I was mainly considering guys that used to be very early picks. Smith’s in a good situation, but I’m still skeptical.

]]> by: Jeremy http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1307 Tue, 31 Oct 2006 07:33:06 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1307 I think that you're overly optimistic if you think Roy is going to come in and get 37 minutes per game, though I suppose that it isn't impossible if he plays backup PG. Portland was one of the most frustrating teams last year because just about no one on the team (perhaps outside of Randolph) averaged above 30 minutes per game. Add in the fact that you have Darius Miles, Martell Webster and Travis Outlaw (who absolutely has to prove himself this year or he is done) at the wing spots, as well as Jarret Jack and Sergio Rodriguiz on the team at PG, I think that Roy will get closer to 30-33 minutes per game. That, however, is still enough to make him plenty fantasy valuable, and his versatility may earn him even more court time. So yes, Roy will be better than Gay over the course of the year (at least he should be) but you're going to have to pay a higher premium come draft day. I think that you’re overly optimistic if you think Roy is going to come in and get 37 minutes per game, though I suppose that it isn’t impossible if he plays backup PG.

Portland was one of the most frustrating teams last year because just about no one on the team (perhaps outside of Randolph) averaged above 30 minutes per game. Add in the fact that you have Darius Miles, Martell Webster and Travis Outlaw (who absolutely has to prove himself this year or he is done) at the wing spots, as well as Jarret Jack and Sergio Rodriguiz on the team at PG, I think that Roy will get closer to 30-33 minutes per game. That, however, is still enough to make him plenty fantasy valuable, and his versatility may earn him even more court time.

So yes, Roy will be better than Gay over the course of the year (at least he should be) but you’re going to have to pay a higher premium come draft day.

]]> by: arpit http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1306 Tue, 31 Oct 2006 04:38:40 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1306 how can u say that gay will be better than roy. gay will only start until gasol is back. i know he is good, but roy will start no matter what and will get a lot of time to develop his already nba ready game. He will get better as the year goes on and won't do nothing spectacular but a little bit of everything, 17pts 5reb 5ast 1.5 3s 1.5 stl 5ftm and about 45/38/81 for percentages in about 37 min/game. Gay will help u out but when it comes to the championship at the end of the year i would rather have roy. how can u say that gay will be better than roy. gay will only start until gasol is back. i know he is good, but roy will start no matter what and will get a lot of time to develop his already nba ready game. He will get better as the year goes on and won’t do nothing spectacular but a little bit of everything, 17pts 5reb 5ast 1.5 3s 1.5 stl 5ftm and about 45/38/81 for percentages in about 37 min/game. Gay will help u out but when it comes to the championship at the end of the year i would rather have roy.

]]> by: Give Me The Rock » Fantasy Preview: Chicago Bulls http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1305 Tue, 31 Oct 2006 00:28:31 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1305 [...] Luol Deng - Starter Alert! Deng seems to be getting a lot of love for a breakout year of sorts, or at least, nice sleeper material. Unlike some of the other Bulls, he did show (modest) improvement in most of his stats last year. Now he’ll be starting, he’s definitely worth taking a chance on this year. [...] […] Luol Deng - Starter Alert! Deng seems to be getting a lot of love for a breakout year of sorts, or at least, nice sleeper material. Unlike some of the other Bulls, he did show (modest) improvement in most of his stats last year. Now he’ll be starting, he’s definitely worth taking a chance on this year. […]

]]> by: Will http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1304 Mon, 30 Oct 2006 22:50:01 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1304 What about JR Smith for comeback star? he did have 8 for 13 threes in a preseason game. grant it, it was preseason but the three line is the same length as in regular season... i also have a question. Now that Andrew Bogut is making a fast recovery and might start for the season opener, is it wise to start him yet? or will they ease him in? Right now I'm planning on putting Stro swift in front of him What about JR Smith for comeback star? he did have 8 for 13 threes in a preseason game. grant it, it was preseason but the three line is the same length as in regular season…

i also have a question. Now that Andrew Bogut is making a fast recovery and might start for the season opener, is it wise to start him yet? or will they ease him in? Right now I’m planning on putting Stro swift in front of him

]]> by: bublitchki http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1303 Mon, 30 Oct 2006 18:12:31 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1303 My take on a few of your selections: MVP: LeBron: I had him last year and - believe it or not - was somewhat disappointed. Having clearly established himself as "The Man" for the Cavs (not to mention the entire NBA), he took on more of a scorer's role, leaving his assist and rebound totals below what I'd hoped. His FT% wasn't that great, his steal numbers were down and his TOs just killed me. Maybe his FT% improves this year, but with no other stud scorers around him I don't really see any reason for a big leap in his other numbers. I guess we can *yawn* expect another 30/6/6 or so. Yea, it's worthy of the overall #1 pick and probable fantasy MVP but a fantasy season for the ages? Doubtful. BTW, my dark horse pick for FMVP is Chris Paul. With Claxton gone and the normal improvement typically shown by 2nd yr PGs, he could easily become the consensus #1 NBA PG by year's end. BUST: D. Howard: Hope you're wrong on this one as I picked him in the 3rd round very much expecting that "leap" you spoke of. When Francis was shipped out, the Magic became his team and he showed more of an inclination to score. Also his preseason #s (yeah, I know, I know) show an increased penchant for steals and assists. He'll never be KG but he could improve enough to establish himself as a first rounder next year. Josh Smith (who I also selected) seems a more likely bust candidate as he still has a tendency to lose focus from time to time. But I couldn't resist being dazzled by last year's post-break #s and his youth. I tend to agree with the other commenter who mentioned Gerald Wallace. His injury history makes him an extremely dicey fourth round pick (where he went in our draft this year). My bust pick: Yao - we're starting to see the recurring foot problems which are the perennial bete noire for giants like him (see Sabonis, Smits, Sampson) He could be starting to break down. This could wind up being a long, frustrating season for Yao owners. BREAKOUT: Deng: He's got the skills but he's also got the Skiles. I tend to steer clear of Bulls unless injury or scarcity forces Scotty's hand. Same problem with Deron in Utah. With Derek on board, Sloan has the latitude to sit Deron whenever he has a mind to. My guess is that Fisher will perform just well enough to prevent Williams from establishing himself as a 35 mpg PG this season. I much prefer Felton's situation in Charlotte, despite the lingering presence of Knight. My dark horse breakout guy: Charlie V., now that he's out from under Bosh's shadow. Anyway, that's my $ .02. My take on a few of your selections:

MVP:

LeBron: I had him last year and - believe it or not - was somewhat disappointed. Having clearly established himself as “The Man” for the Cavs (not to mention the entire NBA), he took on more of a scorer’s role, leaving his assist and rebound totals below what I’d hoped. His FT% wasn’t that great, his steal numbers were down and his TOs just killed me. Maybe his FT% improves this year, but with no other stud scorers around him I don’t really see any reason for a big leap in his other numbers. I guess we can *yawn* expect another 30/6/6 or so. Yea, it’s worthy of the overall #1 pick and probable fantasy MVP but a fantasy season for the ages? Doubtful.

BTW, my dark horse pick for FMVP is Chris Paul. With Claxton gone and the normal improvement typically shown by 2nd yr PGs, he could easily become the consensus #1 NBA PG by year’s end.

BUST:

D. Howard: Hope you’re wrong on this one as I picked him in the 3rd round very much expecting that “leap” you spoke of. When Francis was shipped out, the Magic became his team and he showed more of an inclination to score. Also his preseason #s (yeah, I know, I know) show an increased penchant for steals and assists. He’ll never be KG but he could improve enough to establish himself as a first rounder next year.

Josh Smith (who I also selected) seems a more likely bust candidate as he still has a tendency to lose focus from time to time. But I couldn’t resist being dazzled by last year’s post-break #s and his youth. I tend to agree with the other commenter who mentioned Gerald Wallace. His injury history makes him an extremely dicey fourth round pick (where he went in our draft this year).

My bust pick: Yao - we’re starting to see the recurring foot problems which are the perennial bete noire for giants like him (see Sabonis, Smits, Sampson) He could be starting to break down. This could wind up being a long, frustrating season for Yao owners.

BREAKOUT:

Deng: He’s got the skills but he’s also got the Skiles. I tend to steer clear of Bulls unless injury or scarcity forces Scotty’s hand. Same problem with Deron in Utah. With Derek on board, Sloan has the latitude to sit Deron whenever he has a mind to. My guess is that Fisher will perform just well enough to prevent Williams from establishing himself as a 35 mpg PG this season. I much prefer Felton’s situation in Charlotte, despite the lingering presence of Knight.

My dark horse breakout guy: Charlie V., now that he’s out from under Bosh’s shadow.

Anyway, that’s my $ .02.

]]> by: Terrance http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1302 Mon, 30 Oct 2006 17:05:14 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1302 yeah, i like the brakout star to be deron williams. has breakout written all over him. the biggest bust to me has to be gerald wallace. i cant think of a player that has played so little to crack the top three rounds. hes definantly proven, but do you really want to waste a 3rd round pick on him when you could get joe johnson, mike bibby, michael redd, or brad miller? i sure couldnt. glad to see you bring anthony paker up for roty, he has gotten no pub! ill be keeping a close eye on him, getting the start @ sg! miami?!? i was glad they won it all last year cos im a fan of shaq. i know im going with the fashionable pick, but the bulls have the pieces. so ill take the suns over the bulls if amare is healthy. yeah, i like the brakout star to be deron williams. has breakout written all over him.

the biggest bust to me has to be gerald wallace. i cant think of a player that has played so little to crack the top three rounds. hes definantly proven, but do you really want to waste a 3rd round pick on him when you could get joe johnson, mike bibby, michael redd, or brad miller? i sure couldnt.

glad to see you bring anthony paker up for roty, he has gotten no pub! ill be keeping a close eye on him, getting the start @ sg!

miami?!? i was glad they won it all last year cos im a fan of shaq. i know im going with the fashionable pick, but the bulls have the pieces. so ill take the suns over the bulls if amare is healthy.

]]> by: Terrance http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1300 Mon, 30 Oct 2006 16:41:07 +0000 http://www.fantasybasketblog.net/2006/10/30/award-predictions/#comment-1300 lol, now thats a good comment. i know alot of people would like a column on this! lol, now thats a good comment. i know alot of people would like a column on this!

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