New! Updated! Top 20!

Continuing a tradition from last year, we’re gonna take a look at the best of the best on a monthly basis.  Just like our season previews, this is based on a 8-category league (i.e. no turnovers).  I’m also going to list where they were on our rankings going into the year.  Ready?  OK:

1. Shawn Marion, F (Preseason: 2) - It is absolute shenanigans that The Matrix fell to DM at the 4th pick in our draft and I will curse the guys that took Kobe and KG before him until the end of the year.  Over 1.5 steals, blocks, and threes, over 50/80% shooting, this guy is the best in the league.  Period.  I know that KG is outperforming Marion so far, but Marion is 2 years younger, shooting more from the arc than ever before (and they’ll start falling eventually), and possibly UNDERperforming in boards and steals.  Yikes.

2. LeBron James, SF (1) - Free throws, LeBron, free throws!  He’s the only guy right now with a legitimate shot at displacing Marion from the top spot but it all depends on what he does at the line.  Also, is it safe to assume that we can forget about the triple-double average?  On the plus side, those blocks are nice to see. 

3. Kevin Garnett, F (3) - What happened to the passing numbers? Those will improve, but his FT% will drop eventually as well.  I like KG as a sell-high candidate right now, actually.  I just have a bad feeling about him even though he’s playing as well as ever right now.

4. Gilbert Arenas, PG (6) - I don’t think that his FT% is a fluke.  He dedicated himself to his free throws after the playoffs disaster and should end the season over 90%.  The assists, on the other hand, may or may not be for real.

5. Dirk Nowitzki, F (4) - The defensive numbers are a concern but I think they should correct themselves over time.  Dirk is just going to be a steady force, and that’s why you take him in the first half of the first round.

6. Yao Ming, C (9) - We’ve seen him go on runs like this before.  The feet are still a concern, but right now just enjoy the ride.  If you can swing him in a one-for-one with any of the above players, though, you should do it.

7. Vince Carter, G/F (19) - Of course we all saw this coming, but he’s still such an injury risk.  Carter and Yao could be the best 2 fantasy players in the league this year, but you won’t see them getting much higher on this list because of that risk.

8. Kobe Bryant, SG (5) - Give him time, he’ll be fine.  The emergence of some of his supporting cast won’t really hurt his stats - remember, he was pretty sweet even when the diesel was taking up a ton of the offense.

9. Dwyane Wade, G (8) - The three’s are coming, slowly, but at the expense of his FG%.  He’s also dropped considerably in boards, but they should come around.  Wade may be a decent buy-low right now (18 on ESPN PR), but I’m still concerned about fatigue.

10. Steve Nash, PG (10) - This is right where he’ll be all year.

11. Lamar Odom, F (25) - Odom has buy-fake-high written all over him.  DM wrote a good piece on that theory a while back but I can’t find it.  Basically, his owners will be looking to sell high on him, but the truth is he’s perfectly capable of putting up numbers like this all year long.  If you can get him for a mid-second rounder like Jermaine O’Neal or Jason Kidd, it’s worth considering.

12. Elton Brand, C (6) - Did all the other Elton owners let out a big exhale after his game Sunday night? I know I sure did.  He’s still not shooting very much and his FT% has me worried, but last night went a long way in convincing me that he’ll right the ship.

13. Ray Allen, SG (12) - Can 3 3’s a game be a disappointment?  Of course not.  Let’s hope the rebounds are an anomaly and not a trend, though.

14. Michael Redd, GF (24) - Even before his 57-point outburst, Redd was off to a tremendous start.  What happened to his suggestion that he was going to score less this year?

15. Joe Johnson, G (23) - Over 25 points in every game so far and a monster in threes.  Is he a sell-high candidate?

16.  Paul Pierce, GF (10) - He belongs higher than this, but this is his punishment for shooting 67% from the stripe so far.  The rebounds are nothing short of astounding, though.  Everything should even out in the end for Pierce.

17.  Allen Iverson, G (14) - I know we’re not counting turnovers here, but 5.2 per game?  Zoinks.  The steals will come around eventually for AI and everything else seems par for the course.

18.  Jason Kidd, PG (22) - A bigger triple-double threat than Lebron, it seems like he’s refusing to age more than we thought he would.

19. Chris Paul, PG (13) - His eye-catching stats are nice (19/9, 51% FG) but what’s going on with the FT%, 3’s, and steals?  Paul could be in for another brilliant real-life season but may disappoint fantasy owners.

20.  Zack Randolph, PF (71) - Fine.  There.  Are you happy?

01
OB
November 14th, 2006 9:50 am

I just want to ask something so will just post in the latest post. Fred Jones just got the starting role over mo pete. Do you think its worth to trade stromile for Fred Jones? So far not many people know that Fred Jones will be starting so I might get him cheaper…

02
bv
November 14th, 2006 10:44 am

OB, if there’s one player that we don’t trust for a second here at FBB, it’s Stromile Swift. If you are able to trade him for even a side of rice pilaf, you should do it.

03
HP
November 14th, 2006 10:46 am

I don’t know if u anybody really wants Stromile, in the 2 leagues I’m in stromile is still FA will Fred jones have been picked up in both…… so I’m not sure u can get the deal off. u may have to do a 2 for 2 on two bench players.

Anyways, I just got an offer that really puzzled me: I get Yao and Diaw, and give up Pierce and Reshard Lewis…. I really need a center as the one I got has not been performing (kaman, B Miller and Frye)…. and I think Diaw might somehow work back into form given his versitility, so might be a buy low time for him.

I am afraid I am giving up too much, but Pierce really pissed me off with the 12TO game (TO counts in my roto league)…. but I love lewis….

shoud I do it?

04
November 14th, 2006 11:06 am

What’s up guys, what you think about dropping Nazr Mohammed for Kendrick Perkins at this point? I had Perkins ranked much higher pre season but he struggled pretty bad, last two games he did a lot better while Nazr has produced pretty much nothing. Should i do the switch?

I can also drop Nick Collison instead, but he’s getting a lot of minutes.

05
bv
November 14th, 2006 11:13 am

HP, i wouldn’t do it. Think about it this way - I don’t think anyone would be shocked if, at the end of the year, Pierce was higher on the Player Rater than Yao. But i dont’ think anyone believes Diaw will come close to Rashard this year. I understand you have issues at C, but don’t overpay for one.

Min, I’m a Nazr owner and I wouldn’t drop him anytime soon. He’s still startable even with only 20 minutes and I’m holding out hope that those minutes go up. I’d drop collison if anyone for perkins.

06
JM
November 14th, 2006 12:02 pm

Top 20 comments…

Rashard Lewis is #3 on espn’s player rater right now. (#10 on basketballmonster). His %’s should come down a little eventually (currently at 49%FG, 83%FT) but his other numbers should hold. He is in a contract year, after all.

I’d say he’s clearly the most-deserving guy left of your top 20 list…

honorable mention:
Kevin Martin

07
JM
November 14th, 2006 12:28 pm

MIN,
I’d also drop collison (rather than Nazr) for Perkins.

I’m intrigued by Perkins, and considering dropping Darko for him, but can’t decide. Seems like Darko’s play has been improving recently.

Also considering dropping Darko for Channing Frye.. Though Frye’s upside for blocks isn’t great.

I’m also hesitant go pick up Knicks and Celtics due to their team/coaching situations…

08
arpit
November 14th, 2006 1:55 pm

what will fred jones average. will he get anything other than points.

Does this mean that tj ford will get more assists.

09
DM
November 14th, 2006 2:38 pm

I don’t think Fred Jones is going to be all that valuable. He’s already playing 29 mpg, I don’t think he’ll get TOO much more. He’ll get some 3s, but he’s your typical low FG% swingman who doesn’t really help unless he’s getting big minutes as the featured offensive weapon (like he did in a few post-brawl games).

10
arpit
November 14th, 2006 3:36 pm

thanks, wat about aldridge, i picked him up over warrick. good move? i think so, i like wat aldridge has to offer. he played in crunch time last game. portland doesn’t have good big men besides randolf. He should be starting soon and producing like 12 and 11 with like 3 offensive rebounds. maybe a block or two, good %s. low to.

11
arpit
November 14th, 2006 4:28 pm

how long do you think roy will be out if he has surgery. will he produce when he comes back.

12
Jeremy
November 14th, 2006 4:46 pm

Warrick will certainly lose value once Pau Pasol comes back, and Rudy Gay/Stomile Swift will eat into his time as well.

Portland has a lot of injured bigs in Pryzbilla, Magloire and LaFrentz. I see Pryzbilla getting time when he’s healthy because Portland spent quite a bit to resign him recently. Maglore is an idiot playing like he is in a contract year.

Portland is certainly building with their youth (think Chicago three years ago) and thus it wouldn’t suprise me to see if they continue to throw Alderage out there more and more, especially if he produces like he did in his first game back.

13
Jeremy
November 14th, 2006 11:08 pm

How many other people are really, REALLY pissed right now that they took Chris Kaman instead of Emeka Okafor?

Okafor has been last-year’s Camby.

14
MIKE
November 15th, 2006 8:10 am

So you would rank Zach Randolph over Carlos Boozer?? Boozer is center-eligible in my league; I was just offered that one for one swap.

Thoughts??

15
bv
November 15th, 2006 8:30 am

mike, i’d trade randolph for boozer in a heart-beat. randolph may be playing well now but he is quite frankly not to be trusted. Pull that switch fast before your league-mate thinks better of it.

16
MIKE
November 15th, 2006 2:17 pm

Thanks BV, I hopped on it. I’ll miss the days of 14 for 15 from the line every night, but Boozer is solid and provides better overall peripherals. And he’s not a thug.

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