Transaction Reaction

Pickup: LaMarcus Aldridge
Drop:  Steven Hunter
Hunter hasn’t been all that terrible in his run as a starter, averaging 9.1/7.1/0.9 with 1.5 blocks on 52% shooting. But he’s really not helping you anywhere but blocks and this is the most you can expect from him and that translates into #140 on the 15-day rater. Aldridge is still stuck with just a small piece of the big man pie in Portland, so this is clearly a speculation pick up, waiting for that inevitable Jamaal Magloire trade. Aldridge reached double digits in five of seven games in the middle of January, but was back to irrelevance soon after that. Like many young bigs, he has a huge problem getting into quick foul trouble. And when you play on a team with three other 7-footers, that’s not a good thing. The rookie’s game still has plenty to like, but no doubt you’ll be seeing his name shortly in a future TR.

Pickup: Jorge Garbajosa
Drop:  Ruben Patterson
Garbajosa’s center eligibility is what was behind this pickup. The team that made this transaction is first in the league in both rebounds and blocks, and before picking up Garbajosa his only centers were Alonzo Mourning and Dikembe Mutombo. Not bad, right? Now that Shaq seems to be back he needed another person in the middle, and even though Garbajosa starts at SF, he’s got that eligibility. He seems entrenched in the starting lineup but had an incredibly lackluster January, putting up 6.2/4.1/2.2 on 33% shooting. Just amazingly bad. The 0.9 3s and 1.2 steals make it a bit better, but just a bit. He hit double digits just twice in the month and even with his center eligibility, it’s hard to see him being worth even a bench spot at this point. Patterson appeared to lose his starting job when the Bucks started to get healthy, but he was back in there when they got blown out by Orlando on Wednesday. He might stick there with Earl Boykins continuing to come off the bench, but with Charlie Villanueva and Mo Williams back, his opportunities will be much more limited. Patterson is basically playing to his career averages, it’s the increase in minutes that’s giving him a career high in points, assists and boards. He might put together some nice games and probably won’t hurt you too much if you really need to use him, but winning teams shouldn’t be relying on him at this point.

Pickup: Daniel Gibson
Drop:  Morris Peterson
Gibson has displaced Eric Snow as the starting PG for the Cavs, and in his first two starts he’s put up 15.5/2.0/1.5 with 4 3s in 27 mpg. The second round pick has shown impressive accuracy from outside, connecting on 47% of his 3s so far, and if he keeps starting and launching a half-dozen treys per game then he can be yet another waiver-wire 3-point option. He might be enough of a black hole in the other categories to not be worth the time, though. He’s averaging barely half a steal per 40 minutes, and isn’t going to rack up the assists either. He might be worth taking a chance on while he’s hot if you need help in 3s, but don’t expect any kind of serious breakout. We keep waiting for Peterson to get back into the starting lineup or get traded to a team that will start him, but it keeps not happening. It’s been a dozen games since he topped 30 minutes, and while he can still hit his share of 3s, his lack of PT simply makes him not worth having around.

Pickup: Gerald Green
Drop:  Mickael Pietrus
In the land of retarded stats, the one about the Celtics being 2-20 or whatever when Gerald Green receives 18+ mpg is one of the most retarded. Clearly those losses are because of Green, not because he is playing in place of the Celtics best player, Paul Pierce. Come on now. Green has made 16 starts on the season, seeing 31.5 mpg in those contests, which is a decent sample size. His line of 14.2/3.9/1.6 with 1.9 3s is pretty typical for a waiver wire option, especially when you factor in the 41% shooting. He shot 48% last year in limited action, which made us think he might be a rare high-percentage SG, but that’s not so clear anymore. It’s only his second season and he will continue to get better, but this is probably about as good as it gets for this year. Pietrus is another victim of The Whims of Don Nelson – he starts, he gets hurt, he starts, he comes off the bench, he starts. He’s putting up almost identical numbers as Green, except with an impressive 50% from the field that looks more like a mirage than a new trend. If he were assured 35 mpg he’d certainly be roster-worthy, but he’s not one of the players to trust on Golden State.

Pickup: Brendan Haywood
Drop:  Channing Frye
This is a move I made. Over the years there hasn’t been a single player who we’ve had more of a love/hate relationship with than Brenda(n) Haywood. So when he started playing some great ball lately I just had to grab him. I won’t give you an in-depth scouting report on Haywood, but I’ll say that he’s learning that he’s more likely to score when he goes to the basket, but that his few jumpers have been looking pretty good lately. He’s a really terrific defender and offensive rebounder, even if it does take him about 7 seconds to get a rebound and then throw three head fakes before dunking. I made this move before Antawn Jamison went down, but I’m not so sure his absence will mean bigger things for Haywood. What’s more important is that he continues to hold off Etan Thomas and receive around 30 mpg. Frye at least gave me one solid game when Eddy Curry was out, but he’s simply too low in the pecking order on the Knicks and David Lee is simply a superior player.

Pickup: Bostjan Nachbar
Drop:  Luke Walton
Here’s the problem with guys like Nachbar. He has a good game, you take notice. He has another good game, you officially start watching him. He has his best game yet, you snag him. Then you stick him in your lineup to try to catch the rest of the hot streak and he goes and gets the flu or something. I mentioned in the comments that I’m not a big fan of Nachbar, even with Richard Jefferson out. He’s still not starting, he’s still a career 38% shooter. Next. Walton’s injury makes him very droppable, because honestly he was droppable for most of January. His numbers were down in every category, even his solid percentages fell to 41/73. He’s #140 on the 30 day rater, which isn’t good.

Pickup: Paul Millsap
Drop:  Rasual Butler
BV swooped in on this one within an hour of Carlos Boozer going down, which tells you that even on a Saturday night, BV has easy access to a computer. But he deserves to have Millsap because he has been talking him up for a while, even telling me over the summer he wanted the Wizards to spend a pick on him. The numbers pretty much speak for themselves. Millsap’s averaging just over 16 mpg on the season, so double his numbers and you get 12.8/9.4/1.2 with 1.4 steals and 2.0 blocks on 54.5% from the field. Um, yes please. If you watched the Jazz/Spurs game on ESPN Thursday you saw that even though Millsap didn’t start he was out there the entire fourth quarter and he’s one of those guys who is simply always around the ball. About 40% of his boards come on the offensive glass, which helps him get some easy hoops. The Jazz will obviously miss Boozer a ton as he really opens up the floor by being such an inside presence. But if you’re a Boozer owner who quickly scooper up Millsap, the truth is you might not see too much of a drop off in productivity. It’s still an annoyance that he’s coming off the bench, as he could do some serious damage in 38-40 mpg, but you take what you can get from Jerry Sloan, I suppose.

Pickup: Marcus Williams
Drop: Randy Foye
Swapping rookie backup PGs that are receiving more and more time as the season progresses. Williams has hit double digits in his past five games, averaging 14/3/4.2 with 1.4 3s in just 22.4 mpg. Unless that last number goes up, the other numbers won’t go up and that leaves him as yet another player you can pick up for free who might give you some 3s and not much else. Foye is stuck in the same boat, not starting but seeing significant time. In January he averaged 10.5/3.4/3.1 with 0.9 3s in 26 mpg. What is alarming is that he averaged just 0.3 steals per game in the month, while shooting 39%. Not good numbers. He’s Minnesota’s finisher at PG for the most part, but it seems unlikely he’ll supplant Mike James any time soon, so expect the time share to continue.

01
February 2nd, 2007 8:53 am

Dudes. I have been reading your blog for a little over a year now and I love it. I check your your blog daily for fantasy tips.
But here’s my question:
What do you guys think of Alonzo Mourning. I picked up Zo as soon as Shaq went down in the beginning of the season, and I have been really strong in blocks ever since. But, now that Shaq is back, it looks like Zo-train has made it last stop. Last night in 13 minutes of action he had 2 pts, 1 board, 2 TO’s, & 1 block. Does Zo have any value left or should I seek a better option out of the waiver wire? I’d also like to mention that I have 4 other players in center eligibility: Al Jeff, Slammin Sami D, Ben Wallace, & Troy Murphy.
What are you thoughts on Lebron’s hit on Wade last night? Looked just as bad as Kobe’s.

02
February 2nd, 2007 8:58 am

I recently dropped Nachbar for Turkoglu.
good move?

I’m focusing on 3’s and FT% at the moment. He gets more minutes than Nachbar, and thus contributes in more categories. It seems like Turk has gotten out of his early season shooting slump, and is (at this point) still a starter, though was recently rumored to be benched for freaking Bogans…
I really do dislike the Magic’s coach for fantasy purposes, as do other former J.Nelson owner’s, I’m guessing.

The other big factor is that Grant hill is out for 2-3 weeks, which is great news for both Turkoglu and Nelson. So Turk should be getting 35 min/game for a few weeks, if not more.

03
February 2nd, 2007 9:09 am

What about Antonio Daniels, as Wizards fans I thought you might have some insight?

Will he get enough extra minutes with Jamison out to have value. I love Daniel’s ability to help out my FT%. Not easy to find someone on the waiver wire who takes as many attempts/minute that he does at such a high %….

04
Rook
February 2nd, 2007 9:11 am

These are great columns. Separating out the Millsaps from the Nachbars is very, very helpful. Glad you’re making them weekly.

05
bv
February 2nd, 2007 10:14 am

ray, i think that looking to the wires is not a bad idea, but then it’s tough to say because we don’t know who’s on your wireds to compare him to. that said, if you’ve got 4 other C’s who all are more valuable, you can probably drop zo without too much worry.

as for lebron, that was some bullshit last night, he should get suspended as well as ridiculed for the way wade absolutely showed him up last night. the year keeps getting worse for lebron.

JM, we’ve never like Nachbar (at least I don’t remember us ever liking him), and while I personally am not a big fan of Turkoglu I think that’s a fine move. As for AD, I don’t think he’s going to have much more value with Jamison out. He’s got much more value in real life than in fantasy, first of all, and secondly as long as Eddie Jordan enjoys giving Donnell Taylor minutes for no good reason Daniels shouldn’t make much of a move on the player rater.

06
February 2nd, 2007 10:31 am

this is got to be the best fantasy bball column on the net that I’ve read, big thumbs up.

bv: I gotta disagree on the Lebron incident last night. His performance definitly made me ashamed to be a Lebron owner, but that foul was most definitly NOT intentional. Lebron was flying over there to foul, but Wade didn’t just stand there after he got the pass, he instead was ready to turn and dribble away. We all know you can’t run and dribble with your knees straight like you are standing. So that caused Wade to bent his knees and got lower than what Lebron anticipated (as lebron already launched himself full speed to commit the foul).

If Stern suspends bron after what Kobe just got because of that, someone needs to give him a good beating and clear his power hungry head.

07
Terrance
February 2nd, 2007 12:06 pm

funniest line of the column-”In the land of retarded stats, the one about the Celtics being 2-20 or whatever when Gerald Green receives 18+ mpg is one of the most retarded.”

thats exactly why i hate retarded stats, blame the celtics 2-20 skid on a kid who developing!

PG Chris Paul
SG Raymond Felton
G Mo Williams
SF Kevin Garnett
PF David West
F Ricky Davis
C Darko Milicic
C Yao Ming
Util Carmelo Anthony
Util Jameer Nelson
BN Joe Johnson (out) chris bosh (in)
BN Josh Childress
BN Hedo Turkoglu

my recent trade of felton for bosh got rejected. so im proposing joe johnson for bosh….how does this deal look with my current roster? just want some feed back before i hit accept.

my team is stong in assists so i can afford to lose johnosns 4.5/game. im not a strong 3 team, and this doesnt help that. but i become strong in PTS, REB, AST, FG, FT. and remain decent in stls, 3’s. while giving up TO’s for sure

08
DM
February 2nd, 2007 1:40 pm

Terrance, y’know, you gotta give up something good to get something good, at least if you play in a league worth playing in. Johnson is a great player and is tough to give up, but Bosh is great as well. It looks like you are shaky in the middle with Yao out for a while and Darko emerging, but still not quite there yet. But Bosh is really turning it on as of late (man was he in the zone against the Wiz the other night) and with Paul coming back I think you can take the hit in assists. It’s not a “slam dunk” deal, but I think there are more positives than negatives.

09
Terrance
February 2nd, 2007 1:48 pm

thanks for chking it out. yeah, i saw the box score and bosh was 15-19 and made 15 in a row including a 75 foot bomb! started 0-4 and then didnt miss the rest of the game!

im interested to see who will pick up the slack in DC with jamison out, stevenson maybe? agent 0 and butler by themselves? too bad butler doesnt have a cool nickname “C-But”? Brilliant!!!

10
DM
February 2nd, 2007 1:54 pm

Caron doesn’t just have a nickname, he has THE COOLEST nickname: Tuff Juice. (We just recently found out it was “Tuff” and not “Tough” — if you google “bog washingtonpost.com tough juice” you can find out all about it.)

It’s going to be a committee thing here in D.C. I hope Stevenson doesn’t take it upon himself to fill the void, because that would not be good for the Wiz.

11
CBass
February 2nd, 2007 2:02 pm

Although I really like Joe johnson, and I’m an owner, I doubt he’ll land you Bosh.

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