Transaction Reaction

How convenient of DM to be unable to do a TR and ask me to pinch hit, on a week when our league has seen 32 players added, dropped or traded!  Needless to say, we’re not going to go through all of them, but here are a couple of highlights:

ADDED AND DROPPED
We saw a couple of guys get both picked up and dropped this week.  Hey, that’s the volatility of the NBA and when you’re in a competitive league, sometimes you gotta be quick on the trigger.  Among them:

JR Smith - He was dropped, obviously, because of the injury, and his previous owner picked up Brent Barry instead.  If Smith is due to be out a month, and his value is already slightly limited with both AI and Melo around, he’s not that tough a drop.  Brent Barry has been a classic ’sneaky value’ guy - tough to own because of his spotty points and productivity but he’s great in 3’s and percentages.  He’s the kinda guy you can’t own early in the year but as the season develops and you need help in specific categories he becomes a guy to seriously consider.

I turned around and picked up Smith a couple days later when it was revealed that he might only miss a couple of weeks.  I’m planning on making a big move in threes in the next two months and all I had to drop for him was Eddie House, so the decision wasn’t too tough.  I’ll stash him on my bench and hope for the best.  When healthy he’s been a solid fantasy starter in Denver and I’ve just decided to be patient with him.

DeShawn Stevenson - Stevenson has really shone since the All-Star break.  With 2 of the Wizards Big 3 hurt and the other struggling big-time, he stepped up and put together a nice string of games, 17/3.8/3.3 since the All-Star break with 1.5 3’s and 1.2 steals on 53% from the field.  However, with Butler and Jamison both due back tonight (thank god), it’s probably the end of that sort of productivity for DeShawn.  He was added in exchange for Chris Duhon last week, and then Wednesday he was dropped for Jorge Garbojosa - two guys who bounce on and off of waivers all the time.

Sam Cassell - just a case of poor timing for the guy who dropped him in favor of Earl Watson just two days before Shaun Livingston ruined his knee.  But hey, that’s how quickly value can change in this league.  One day you’re in a time-share, the next day the minutes are all yours.  Just ask PR, who picked up Cassell almost immediately after Livingston went down, only to see Cassell get hurt the next game.  Cassell should obviously still be on rosters as the groin sounds like a minor issue.

Steve Blake - PR actually dropped Blake to get Cassell, but in a league filled with UMD alumni, it was not too long before he was snatched back up.  Balke has been getting the jerk-around from George Karl but it’s pretty conceivable that he’ll be back in the lineup relatively soon, so this was a nice use of a garbage spot based on a hunch.  He was added in favor of Mackael Pietrus, who has struggled for minutes since the return of Jason Richardson, but now that Stephen Jackson is hurt he could be worthwhile again and might be picked up any day depending on how long Jackson will be out.

TRADES
A couple of trades this week so let’s get down to it:

Joe Johnson for Mehmet Okur - This is one that I made, giving up Johnson.  Here’s what led me to do it, because i know that Johnson is more valuable than Okur overall.  One, I’ve got a 200-assist buffer on either side of me in the standings, so Johnson’s assists will do me no good from here on out.  Two, i’ve been forced to play Mikki Moore lately thanks to Emeka Okafor being out, so I really needed a center.  Three, if I was going to give up Johnson I was going to need some threes in return because as I stated earlier that’s a spot I can make a move in.  Four, the Hawks won’t be competing come April, whereas the Jazz will, so I like Okur’s chances of playing out the season better than Johnson.  Finally, I’ve also got a 400-point buffer on either side of me in the standings so the drop there won’t hurt either.  So there you have it.

Mike Bibby, Ray Allen, and Chris Wilcox for Chris Paul, Lamar Odom, and Luke Walton.  Ah, the validation.  Last week I talked about Ray Allen and said he was a risk for contending teams because he’s on a bad team and might not play the whole season.  About a month ago I warned that a guy like Allen was a good bet to sit out the last week or two of action.  So when I saw a guy make a trade for Bibby, Allen, and Wilcox - all three of whom are on struggling teams - I said to myself, “hmm…pretty risky there.”  This trade went through yesterday at 5 PM.  About 6 hours later the new Allen owner was kicking himself as Allen sat out with a sore ankle, the sort of thing that I’m betting he would play through if the Sonics had anything to play for.  Let that be a lesson right there as we head into the fanasy trade deadline.

01
JM
March 2nd, 2007 8:35 am

Aldridge blew up last night. (admittedly it was against the Bobcats, but still)

And word just got out that Przybilla is out of the rest of the year.

Seems like Aldridge is a no-brainer add. Would you rather drop Blount or Darko for him?

I’m leaning towards Blount…

02
ic
March 2nd, 2007 8:58 am

haha
funny thing about the ray allen trade…

so in our keeper league, i just traded him and brad miller away for andre iguodola. the owner thought he was getting a steal but i think i’ll get the last laugh

plus i just picked up aldridge as a result of having an empty roster spot. w00t!

03
Mase
March 2nd, 2007 11:09 am

I picked up Aldridge too… and dropped Trenton Hassel. Looks like a lot of us will be happy if Aldridge performs well.

This blog is becoming extremely important for me… as I seem to have all the players being discussed. Interesting analysis on Blake and Stevenson. I actually dropped Blake last week for Stevenson, but I’ll definitely keep an eye on those two and see what happens. I agree that Stevenson’s value will likely drop (Butler & Jamison coming back tonight)… so I’m keeping an eye on a few point guards (Blake, Jason Hart, Watson, Damon Stoudamire, Claxton, Anthony Johnson)

04
March 2nd, 2007 12:25 pm

damn, Ray Allen might be getting season ending surgery on the ankle, looks like those of you that traded him got out of a big one

05
JJ
March 2nd, 2007 12:35 pm

DAMN and I finally built a near fantasy Dream Team with Ray Allen. I sent out from trade offers (Allen for Redd or Kevin Martin or Joe Johnson) now that Ray is seriously considering “season ending surgery” 3 dreaded words to Wade owners and fantasy owners alike.

My was-perfect team:

PG Steve Nash | SG Ray Allen | G Chauncey Billups | SF Gerald Wallace | PF Carlos Boozer | F Al Jefferson | C J.O’Neal | C Biedrins | Util Brandon Roy | Darko Milicic | BN J-Rich | Head | J-Will

06
ic
March 3rd, 2007 6:12 pm

would any of you drop ricky davis for richard jefferson? he’s supposed to come back soon…

07
Rook
March 3rd, 2007 7:58 pm

If Ray Allen plays this weekend, which I hear he will, I take it you’d say that’s a good time to move him?

08
bublitchki
March 3rd, 2007 9:14 pm

My, oh my. How quickly the worm turns. Again.

In just a little over a day after bv critiqued one of his league mates for acquiring Allen/Bibby/Wilcox for Paul/Odom/Walton, we learn that Allen is likely to start on Sunday while an MRI this morning on Odom revealed a torn labrum that could sideline him for the season.

Funny ol’ game, this

09
Rook
March 4th, 2007 10:27 am

But it’s still true that Allen’s a threat to shut it down earlier than most. Playing this weekend could be a reprieve of sorts for his value. If he plays this weekend I’ll see what kind of offers I can get for him.

10
Rook
March 4th, 2007 2:20 pm

Is a younger player like Joe Johnson less likely to take the last few games off? I know no one really knows, but you guys seem to have a theory about what might happen.

11
Rook
March 4th, 2007 2:23 pm

OK I’ll cut to the chase — would it be smart to offer Ray Allen for Joe Johnson, given the concerns about Allen’s ankle… even if Allen plays well tonight?

12
PR
March 4th, 2007 2:28 pm

Rook… I believe your logic is on target. Johnson is more likely to play out the season than someone like Ray Allen. The mere fact that Allen was just considering season-ending surgery is enough for me to try to get rid of him. He’s the high-priced superstar who has no reason to risk further injury when his team is out of playoff contention. I’d definitely rather have Johnson at this point.

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