Now: Bad. Later: Worse.

For those of you owners of Mike Miller, Joe Johnson, Andrew Bogut, Ray Allen, etc, who think that this is about as bad as it’s gonna get, I’ve got some bad news for you:  It’s only going to get worse from here.  As we get even closer to the end of the season, teams are going to have even less incentive to play, and studs are going to start sitting more and more.  Let’s look at a few teams who could, by the time the weekend is through, have thrown in the towel, and what that might mean for you:

Sacramento Kings
The Kings are a great bet to have someone come out of nowhere to me a real fantasy force over the last few weeks of the year.  Why?  For one, they’ve got 12 games left this year still, tied for most in the league with Washington, Milwaukee and Denver.  Two, they’ve got plenty of disgruntled veterans who would be more than happy to sit out - Brad Miller has already called it quits, Ron Artest may or may not even be in the NBA by this time next week, and Mike Bibby is so ready to be done with this season it isn’t even funny.  And three, they’ve got a couple of guys who have the potential to be fantasy factors if they’re given enough PT.  John Salmons has flirted on and off with fantasy value all year and, given enough PT and enough offensive attention has the potential to be a 15-5-5 guy.  Francisco Garcia, meanwhile, has regressed from his disappointing rookie year but could be a source of threes if he’s relied on much for offense, as well.  The Kings are hanging on for dear life in the playoff race, play twice this weekend, and could be essentially out of it by Monday.

Minnesota Timberwolves
Oh, Kevin Garnett, how we feel for ya.  Was it really just a few weeks ago that you and the Timberwolves went on a three game winning streak and were right in the thick of things for a chance to make the playoffs?  Well, not anymore.  The T-Wolves have lost 3 of 4 and 7 of their last 10 and are now 4 games out of the 8th spot in the West, with four teams ahead of them.  Now, the Wolves are going to play their best as long as possible because it would make Kevin McHale look even MORE ridiculous if they didn’t trade Garnett AND tanked in the same season, but eventually they’ll be so far out that Garnett and probably Ricky Davis will find reasons to wear suits on the bench.  This could be great news for guys like Craig Smith and Randy Foye should it happen.  The Wolves play their next four games against East Coast opponents and we may have already seen Kevin Garnett’s final intra-conference game as a Timberwolf.

Indiana Pacers
Now, the Pacers don’t look all that close to being out of it, but check out this nugget from Chad Ford’s chat on ESPN.com yesterday: “Yeah, the Pacers have a huge incentive to tank. If their pick is 11 or higher, they have to send it to Atlanta. If it’s 10 or lower they keep it.”  I did not know that!  Something gives me the feeling that Jermaine O’Neal may sit out some more games because of this, if not now than later when they COULD be out of it.  In fact, their itchy tanking trigger finger might be in effect as early as next week after they host both the Spurs and Pistons.  That’s probably great news for Danny Granger, probably awful news for Jermiane O’Neal, and who the hell knows for the rest of the team.

01
dave
March 30th, 2007 6:58 am

Not only with tanking, but what about blow outs and teams trying that are way ahead in the standings benching their studs?

For example say you have a choice to play Amare or Nene, but only one of them. Phoenix is playing a crappy team and Denver is playing a team about their caliber. Who would you start?

02
Rook
March 30th, 2007 8:05 am

I came to your site today specifically wondering who might benefit from the upcoming increase in star players skipping games. I agree with Granger and Foye… very interesting.

03
Poop
March 30th, 2007 9:43 am

Great. I’ll lose both Ray Allen and potentially Jermaine O’Neal for the stretch run.

Did someone say championship dreams dashed?

04
dave
March 30th, 2007 12:20 pm

Would anybody drop Mike Miller in H2H playoffs?

05
JM
March 30th, 2007 1:30 pm

I’m considering dropping Miller in my (8-team) H2H league. I’ve got a bye this week.
Next week is semi-finals. I’m hoping to hear something more about his status by then.

In a 12-team league I’d be less likely to drop him right now, since the free agent pool is thinner.

It’s a tough call (until we get word if he’s going to shut it down or not.) if he decides to shuts it down, then of course it’s a nobrainer to drop him.

06
Jeremy
March 30th, 2007 7:05 pm

I too have some tough calls to make. My team currently consists of Paul Pierce, Joe Johnson, and Kevin Martin. While I’m holding hope that Martin comes back, I think that Pierce and Johnson are probably out for good and I need to replace them. Unfortunately, this means replacing them with the likes of Earl Watson.

BTW, Who the hell is WATER HERMANN and why is he all of a sudden playing great. Is he worth dropping my guys for?

I too have a bye until this next week’s games so I need to work quick.

07
Jeremy
March 31st, 2007 4:18 am

Ok, Joe Johnson and Pierce are probably gone. Who would you replace them with fromt his list:

Peja, Walter Hermann, John Salmons, Damien Wilkins, Marvin Wiliams, Earl Watson. Joey Grahm, Dixon, Mikki Moore, Sasha Pavolic, Jason Hart, Hakeem Warrick, Tarence Kinsey

08
bv
March 31st, 2007 9:25 am

well jeremy, considering how awfully wrong i was on the raptors, i’m not sure how much stock i’d put in my opinion, but I think mikki moore is definitely worth owning and of the others dixon, kinsey, hermann, and salmons prbably stand out the most…

09
arpit
March 31st, 2007 10:08 am

Hey guys now that zach randolph is out for the season, is maglore worth a pick up. I already have aldridge and roy who should benefit the most from this. Jamaal started a couple of games and did pretty good. Will he continue to get minutes the rest of the season.

10
Poop
March 31st, 2007 3:52 pm

Jamaal Magloire is going to be the main benefactor and Travis Outlaw’s going to see more minutes as well. Magloire should be a starting center for the rest of the season.

11
Poop
April 1st, 2007 2:43 am

Sweet, now I might have lost LaMarcus Aldridge to possible season ending “injury” - an irregular heartbeat sounds at least a little serious.

Make that 3 of my guys possibly gone for the stretch H2H run - Ray Allen, Jermaine O’Neal & LaMarcus Aldridge.

I love this game.

12
May 17th, 2007 4:34 am

interesting

13
May 21st, 2007 11:39 am

interesting

14
May 22nd, 2007 3:17 am

Sorry :(

15
June 6th, 2007 10:21 pm

Cool!

16
June 8th, 2007 1:35 pm

Nice…

17
June 9th, 2007 3:44 am

Nice!

18
June 9th, 2007 1:43 pm

Cool…

19
June 11th, 2007 4:42 am

interesting

20
June 11th, 2007 3:17 pm

Interesting…

21
June 11th, 2007 10:08 pm

Sorry :(

22
June 12th, 2007 7:57 pm

Cool…

23
June 12th, 2007 10:44 pm

interesting

24
June 18th, 2007 7:49 pm

Cool.

25
July 9th, 2007 3:05 am

Cool…

26
July 9th, 2007 6:07 am

Cool!

27
July 9th, 2007 8:59 am

Cool…

28
July 9th, 2007 11:50 pm

Nice…

29
July 10th, 2007 6:05 am

Cool!

30
July 10th, 2007 10:52 am

Nice!

31
July 10th, 2007 6:20 pm

Cool…

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