Mock Draft Rounds 3 & 4
Continuing our first-ever, reader-participating Mock Draft…
25. Joel: Carlos Boozer (Bryant, Iverson)
26. DM: Chauncey Billups (Garnett, Anthony)
27. Terrance: Tracy McGrady (L. James, Pierce)
28. Raymond: Ray Allen (Marion, Camby)
29. BV: Kirk Hinrich (Nowitzki, Kidd)
30. Sean: Gerald Wallace (Arenas, R. Lewis)
31. PR: Deron Williams (Wade, D. Howard)
32. Jeremy: J. O’Neal (Nash, Josh Smith)
33. All: Baron Davis (A. Stoudemire, Carter)
34. Alex: Joe Johnson (Ming, Duncan)
35. Frank: Al Jefferson (Gasol, Igoudala)
36. Ruyun: Caron Butler (Paul, Bosh)
Well here in round three we see our second big tier drop, about two or three spots in. Here the tiers are a little more blurry, though. For example, I think that Billups, McGrady and Ray Allen are probably in a tier above Carlos Boozer, but with Bryant and Iverson already on his squad, Joel couldn’t exactly take another shooter. Well, he could, but then he’d end up in a similar situation as Terrance, who went with the best overall player in each three rounds, and now is the only team with no PG or C - you know he’ll be drafting the scarcity positions over the next few rounds.
I got razzed for taking Kirk Hinrich as early as I did, but to me it follows my “conservative early, risky late” strategy - Kirk has been 34, 43, and 17 on the TPR over the past three years and I’ll take that from my third round pick. We had a couple of high-risk, high-reward picks right after the tier dropped, as owners felt they weren’t leaving too much talent on the board going after Gerald Wallace, Jermaine O’Neal and Baron Davis when they did. At this point you have to like Alex’s team, as he’s got great balance, two good bigs, and an early pick coming up here in the 4th. Someone I’m not thrilled about? How about Jeremy, who went two risks in a row with Smith and Jermaine O’Neal?
Round 4:
37. Ruyun: Michael Redd (Paul, Bosh, Butler)
38. Frank: Leandro Barbosa (Gasol, Igoudala, Al Jefferson)
39. Alex: Kevin Martin (Ming, Duncan, J. Johnson)
40. All: Antawn Jamison (A. Stoudemire, V. Carter, B. Davis)
41. Jeremy: Kevin Durant (Nash, Josh Smith, J. O’Neal)
42. PR: Brandon Roy (Wade, D. Howard, D. Williams)
43. Sean: Emeka Okafor (G. Arenas, R. Lewis, G. Wallace)
44. BV: Jason Richardson (Nowitzki, Kidd, Hinrich)
45. Raymond: Josh Howard (Marion, Camby, Allen)
46. Terrance: Mehmet Okur (L. James, Pierce, T-Mac)
47. DM: Ron Artest (KG, Anthony, Billups)
48. Joel: Lamar Odom (Bryant, Iverson, Boozer)
Oof. I’m going to go ahead and guess that most people were not thrilled with this round. Redd was an easy pick - he was the only guy who could have even been considered in the third round. The rest of the round is filled with dares - as in, I dare you to think that Barbosa will repeat his value. I dare you to think Durant will have top-50 value in his rookie year. I dare you to think Okur will improve on his 72 on the APR last year. The safety picks (Jamison, Odom, Martin) look pretty good here but if your team takes that big dare here and hits, well, you’re in for a nice season.
After four rounds, I think you can make a case for the bookends having the best teams. Joel has gone with the solid, sure-thing each time and hasn’t really reached all that much on any pick. I also like Ruyun just because Michael Redd is that much better than the rest of this round. As for the team I like least, I gotta say Jeremy again, his team is filled with question marks. I think that each of the risks he took were good risks where they were taken, but cumulatively, it’s a bit scary.
–BV