New! Updated! Top 20!
November 21st, 2007 6:52 am

It’s the first monthly installment of NUT20.  Remember, these rankings are based on a roto league without turnovers.  Let’s get right to it:

1. Kevin Garnett, BOS - He is loving Boston, and his owners are loving him.  How about that 56% from the field?  The steals will probably dip a bit, but KG has been everything that you could hope for.

2. Kobe Bryant, LAL - He’s reined in the 3pt shooting but has been blocking shots and rebounding at career-high levels.  You can question his personality all you want, but the consistent trade rumors haven’t bothered him like they’ve supposedly bothered the Bulls.

3. LeBron James, CLE - This is probably higher than he belongs, because the block numbers will come down, but he’s doing better than last November so we’ll give him a little bump.

4. Steve Nash, PHO - You think he’s feeling his shot right now?  He’s shooting an absolutely absurd 53% from the arc, and has hit every one of his 27 free throws so far this year.

5. Shawn Marion, PHO - He’ll come around from the line eventually, and that’s the only thing holding him back from being probably top-3 on the APR.  The rebounding numbers are nice to see, as well, and I can’t imagine he gets traded mid-season.

6. Yao Ming, HOU - He’s been in a slump since McGrady went down, which is definitely a concern, but it’s not like this is the first time he’s played without T-Mac.  As long as he stays healthy, he’s top-10.

7. Dwyane Wade, MIA - He’s back on the court and it’s not even Thanksgiving, so his owners have to be happy about that.  Once he gets into playing shape he’ll be Top-5.

8. Josh Smith, ATL - OK, I give.  I still don’t think he’s this good, and I think he’s an absolute sell-high right now, and I think he’ll be around 2.5 bpg at the end of the year, but right now (last night excepted) he’s on the top of his game.  And he’s not injured, which is more than I can say for some other guys on this list.

9.  Manu Ginobili, SAS - He can’t keep it up, right?  Be the floor isn’t that low either - the only things really out of sync with his typical stats are the steals and the threes, and that’s not too far out of the ordinary.  Congratulations if you drafted him in the 4th or 5th, looks like he’ll be a top-20 value this year.

10. Dirk Nowitzki, DAL - He’s just not shooting the ball well.  He’s a nice buy-low candidate, I think.  I can’t figure out whose FT% is more befuddling - his or Marion’s.  BUt both of them should be back to normal in a few weeks.

11. Amare Stoudemire, PHO - As a Stoudemire owner myself, I’m not writing anything here so I don’t jinx anything.

12. Gilbert Arenas, WAS - I know, everyone’s been frustrated by him, but the reason he’s this high on the list is because he’s only behind Kobe and Dwyane Wade when it comes to blowup potential.  It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see him be the best player in the league in the second half.

13. Chris Paul, NO - His stats say he should be top ten, but his injury says he should be barely on this list.  Let’s put him here and hope for the best.

14. Allen Iverson, DEN - As long as he’s healthy, there’s not much to worry about with AI.  Right now he’s healthy, and that’s all I need to know to put him here.

15. Kevin Martin, SAC - Just keeps getting better.  He’s this decade’s Mitch Richmond, toiling away on a crappy Sacramento team.  I can’t wait until the Wizards trade an All-Star PF for him once he’s way past his prime.  But really, he seems like he’ll be a 2nd round pick for the next few years, no?

16. Rashard Lewis, ORL - He’s on fire from the field, and he’s having trouble getting his cheap boards with Dwight Howard eating up everything in sight, but it looks like he’ll provide solid 2nd-round value for his owners.

17. Jason Terry, DAL - He’s challenging Nash for the most ridiculous 3pt numbers at 51%.  All of his percentages sohuld come back to reality evenutally, but he’ll still be top-30 when it’s all said and done.

18. Marcus Camby, DEN - Is it possible he’s gotten better with age?  Maybe he’s just feeling healthier now than ever before.

19. Michael Redd, MIL - Doesn’t look like he’s doing anything out of the ordinary at first glance, but then you notice the career highs in boards and assists.  Is it possible he’s becoming less one dimensional?

20.  Andray Blatche, WAS - Just kidding.  Sort of.  Really, we’ll leave this to the commenters - who goes at 20?

Posted in New! Updated! Top 20! by bv
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01
PR
November 21st, 2007 7:37 am

I would include T-Mac on the list. He’s averaging 27/5/5 and is set to return to Houston’s lineup tonight.
His injury and history are disconcerting but you gotta give him props for what he does when on the floor.

02
ray
November 21st, 2007 7:38 am

i think you guys might have too much of a bias on camby…

injury concerns and all if manu moves up 41 spots and camby moves up 6 spots i think there’s a discrepancy. he is currently ranked #1 - 4 on most average player raters and overall raters as well. his rebounding numbers probably won’t stay this high, but his free throw percentage probably won’t stay this low either. being ranked #1 overall in the game as a center deserves some cred doesn’t it?

03
ray
November 21st, 2007 7:44 am

oh wait my bad i was looking at cambys rank with to’s included

04
Ray Recca
November 21st, 2007 7:54 am

Baron Davis should probably be on this list, if not he should be close. I would have probably put Camby a couple spots higher. But I play 9 - cat H2H.

Any thoughts on Shawne Williams of the Pacers? He had a good game last night, but I didn’t watch the game…looking at the boxscore, he could have just been getting scrub time in a blow-out loss.

The Coca-Scola is on my radar, but I’m still not sold on him yet. I want to wait another game or too.

05
ray
November 21st, 2007 8:18 am

I watched the game, Shawne Williams looked pretty good. JO was limping around all night and doesn’t look like himself.

Carlos Boozer for 20?

06
nightkid
November 21st, 2007 8:53 am

Gasol, who many had picked in the first-seocnd round in their drafts, has been a big disappointment. Any views on whether he’ll bounce back to become a force once again?

07
soopahpit
November 21st, 2007 9:10 am

Dwight howard, with the potential increase in FT% his numbers combined make him pretty sick.

08
JM
November 21st, 2007 9:13 am

Candidates for #20 in non-TO leagues:
Boozer
Pierce
Kaman
Billups
Kirilenko

Of those the ones with the best chance of sustaining top 20 production are: Billups and Pierce.
Boozer’s FT% should regress
Kirilenko’s Asts should regress
Kaman’s pts,reb,FT% should regress

I suspect Pierce’s FG% will hold steady unless Allen or Garnett get injured
Billups is doing nothing out of the ordinary, just his usual underrated top 20 stats.

In TO leagues, Josh Howard is definitely the one to add to your top 20.

09
Andy
November 21st, 2007 10:00 am

I say Pierce or Boozer for #20. Boozer’s FT is only 5% above his career avg, so I don’t think that will regress too much. I’d be slightly more concerned about the 0.8 blocks he’s putting up which is not likely to last since it’s more than double his average from last year, so I’d probably give the nod to Pierce, who is doing a bit of everything.

soopahpit: I keep hearing about D. Howard’s “potential” improved FT shooting. Sure, he has a couple of 13-for-16 games this year, but that is not making up for his 10-for-20 and 7-for-freakin’-16 games. He’s under 63% for the year on nearly 11 attempts per game. That’s fantasy poison.

10
Nageek
November 21st, 2007 3:34 pm

how come you guys dont include turnovers?

11
Rich
November 21st, 2007 4:25 pm

Arenas out for 3 months - looks like we need a 19th and a 20th now.

12
frank
November 21st, 2007 5:27 pm

Boozer
Baron Davis
Dwight Howard
Deron Williams

13
Jeremy
November 21st, 2007 6:00 pm

Concerning turnovers, I usually factor them into my personal calculations, but there is a reason that we tend not to like them. Good players have the ball in their hand a lot, and as a result usually put up large turnover values. In H2H, I expect the best teams to probably be losing TOs most weeks unless their first few picks are all low-turnover guys like Shawn Marion.

And as an Arenas owner, this hurts too. 3 Months makes it so very difficult to hang onto him, but like Brand he’ll probably come back and in high value at the end of the season.

14
Sarge
November 22nd, 2007 9:36 am

Dwight Howard, hands down, gets my nod at 20.

Baron should be in there over Redd as well.

15
Telmona
November 22nd, 2007 10:02 am

Chris Kaman !!!!!

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