Injury Fallout - The Replacements

Well, the big news of the day is that Gilbert Arenas is out with an injured knee for the next three months. As a Gilbert owner myself, I can sympathize with those of you out there who spent your first-round pick to acquire him. While there isn’t much you can do to replace his production, his injury as well as others around the league are opening up minutes of playing time that can lead to capable fantasy starters.

Washington Wizards: With Gilbert out, this means more shots to go around for the rest of the players on the team. This means Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison are going to have more value, and Caron already exploded for 39 in their last game. If you can get them for value, now isn’t a bad time to do so. In addition, Antonio Daniels should be picked up in most leagues. Based on his ten games replacing Gilbert as a starter from this and last season, he should be good for 12.5/5.5/8.5 with a three and a steal and good free throw shooting. Not shabby at all for a PG3. Lastly, there has been an Andray Blatche sighting. I thought it would be a mistake that this kid slipped to the second round and in his third year he’s beginning to show why. In the last week he has averaged 13.8/7.3/2.5 with 1.3 steals, 2.5 blocks and even made a three, leading to a #8 ranking for the last week on the average player rater. Part of his increased role is due to Brendan Haywood going down with an injury, but based on his play, Blatche should continue to see the ~30 minutes he needs for fantasy value. I just dropped Yi Jinlian for him!

Toronto Raptors: Let’s talk about Jamario Moon. Wait, who is this guy? Just some career journeyman who’s landed in Toronto and is currently starting over the likes of major FA signing Jason Kapono. With Joey Graham and Jorge Garbajosa out, there is extra playing time at the swing spot and Moon could end up having value in a sort of this-year’s-Matt-Barnes type of way. Now, he’s isn’t playing up to that level yet, but he has shown the ability to have value. As a starter he’s averaging almost 1o points and 7 boards while being a member of the elusive 1/1/1 (steals/blocks/threes) club. That’s the kind of sneaky value that could propel him up the fantasy ratings. Also on the lookout, T.J. Ford has been hobbling around and whenever that happens you know that Jose Calderon is there and ready to put up serious numbers.

Sacramento Kings: These guys have been quite the mess this season. Kevin Martin has become a truly elite fantasy force while they have been dealing with multiple injuries and the Ron Artest suspension. The injury to Mike Bibby and the absence of Artest have helped to give Francisco Garcia and John Salmons value, but that may not last for too much longer. Beno Udrih, though temporarily sidelined, has played capably at PG and will continue to have moderate value for a few weeks. Overall, whoever plays in this lineup will have value, so check back on a daily basis for the status of Udrih and Artest and then plug them (or Salmons/Garcia) in accordingly. Now is not too early to consider making a buy-low trade for Mike Bibby or picking him up if he foolishly dropped to the waivers. This team has got to have the award of most-likely-to-be-blown-up by the end of the season, as either Artest or Bibby should be gone. I’m sure we’ll have more to talk about these players at that time.

The Others: Just like with Bibby, now may be a time to start looking at stashing Randy Foye away on your bench. He’s been dropped in the leagues that I play in, and if he holds up to his expected pre-season value, then he’ll be a steal of a pickup. With the number of minutes that Luol Deng plays, you’d think that someone would gain enough value to be mentioned. Instead, Scott Skiles does this, where no player gets more than 30 minutes in the game and thus no one has value. Skiles’s inconsistent rotations and playing time make me want to avoid all of the Chicago players regardless of health. In other news, it looks like some injured players such as Vince Carter and Tracy McGrady are set to return, which will lower the value of their respective replacements. I’m personally extending holiday wishes to Corey Maggette for a speedy recovery. Is it just me, or does it seem that this year has been especially plagued by players either struggling or going down with injuries?

01
Telmona
November 22nd, 2007 10:53 am

I don’t think Moon will blow anyone’s socks off, but at the very least he looks like a Battier type that won’t hurt you anywhere and quietly fill up the stat sheet.

02
Nageek
November 22nd, 2007 1:12 pm

would you trade away vice carter and iguodala for steve nash? i am lacking in assist.

03
Jeremy
November 23rd, 2007 12:10 am

If Moon continues his play, he’s in the same category as Battier, Delonte West, and Josh Childress, as in he does a little of everything, but nothing great.

As for Nageek, well shoot, Vince has been disappointing and even I underestimated how much getting his $$$ would affect his game, but to trade your first and second round picks for Steve Nash….eh. You usually want the best player back in the trade, but in this case you are really giving up a premium to do so. You might be better off trying to trade Cater or AI2 away by themselves for a lesser PG.

04
Nageek
November 23rd, 2007 4:17 pm

funny, i just got offered another trade thats better.

carter and AI2 for Labron. should i do it?

05
JM
November 23rd, 2007 5:15 pm

Any thoughts on who will get more consistent playing time…Blatche vs Udrih.

I currently own Udrih, but am concerned that his injury is gonna cause him to lose minutes to Garcia/Salmons, who have played well during his absence.

Only other person I’d consider dropping besides Udrih is Jarrett Jack, but he’s found a nice nitche as a scoring guard off the bench for the Blazers. in the 9 games since he became a 6th man, he’s played over 25 min/game in all but one, and has averaged 15 pts, with decent asts,reb,stl,3’s,good percentages.

One reason to drop Udrih or jack for Blatche is that I already have a bunch of pgs on my roster. (Hinrich, Nelson, Gibson, A.Daniels, Jack,Udrih), whereas I only have 2 PF eligible players (Marion,Granger). Also, there’s the hope that Blatche will get C eligibility…and I currently don’t have any C’s beside my 2 starters (Biedrins and Bogut)

06
Jeremy
November 23rd, 2007 6:08 pm

Yahoo usually gives position eligibility to players who start at the position for five consecutive games, so we’ll hope that it happens for Blatche.

Personally, I think Blatche has more upside and may have value for longer. Once Bibby returns Udrih will not be that great, and Salmons and Garcia are both capable players as well who can play some PG. Blatche has a shallow frontcourt to play with and I think he gets more time.

Honestly, I’m a bit concerned as you don’t have a real PG1 this year until Heinrich plays like he usually does, though Daniels should provide assist help. I f I were you I’d probably make the Udrih for Blatche switch now before it’s too late.

As a Blazers homeboy, people are frustrated with Jack but he has seemed to do good in a reserve role. Fans think he’s more of a backup SG than a starting PG in the league.

07
Jeremy
November 24th, 2007 8:41 pm

Quick little update.

If you have room, consider Juan Carlos Navarro. He had another great game tonight knocking in several threes and started for Memphis, where they shifted Gay to PF and Gasol to C. Who knows if this will be permanent, but it seems to be somewhat effective. I don’t know how many shots there will be to go around, but Phoenix creates several fantasy studs and Memphis is doing a great impression.

Blatche didn’t get a ton of playing time tonight, but he’s still worth holding on to in terms of speculation.

08
EC
November 24th, 2007 10:05 pm

On JCN: Darko is definitely going to be inserted back into the lineup for his paint D, so Navarro will be shifted back to the bench. Also…take into account that Navarro doesn’t provide much outside of scoring/3’s/FG% and those are very streaky if he doesn’t get a consistent 30 minutes. All my opinion of course.

09
Jeremy
November 25th, 2007 6:03 am

EC, I definitely agree. After making my comment I looked around a bit and realized that Navarro is definitely going to be hit or miss, especially as Memphis has great wings already in Miller and Gay.

10
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