New! Updated! Top 20!

Let’s get right to it … remember, this is for roto-style, no-TO leagues.

1. Lebron James, CLE (Last Month: 3) - I hear people talking about how he’s really taking off this year, but statistically the only real improvement has been in blocks.  In fact, I’m still not sure he’s any better this year than he was in ‘04-05, though I will buy that his averages are slightly skewed from his two half-games from the finger injury.  Still, it’s good enough for #1 on this list, a spot he hasn’t been in for quite some time.  Welcome to the top, LeBron.

2. Kobe Bryant, LAL (2) - I very nearly put him at #1 over Lebron.  Why?  2 reasons - one, i’m not sure that LeBron’s blocks are sustainable, and two, LeBron still hurts you in FT%, whereas Kobe doesn’t hurt you anywhere.

3. Kevin Garnett, BOS (1) - He’s playing just 31 mpg in December, which is a serious concern.  If this keeps up, next month KG may drop out of the top 5 even though he’s still playing like a beast when he’s on the court.

4. Chris Paul, NO (13) - He’s playing the best ball out of everyone in the league right now.  The problem is that almost everything is well above his career average, particularly the FT% and the steals, both of which may come down.  So we’ll put him at 4 for now, and see what happens.

5. Shawn Marion, PHO (5) - Marion’s 69% from the stripe is one of the most confusing stats of the year - but then you see that he’s hitting 88% in December and everything’s OK.

6. Steve Nash, PHO (4) - Last year I put Nash at 6 and stuck him there all year.  After putting him a bit too high at 4 last month, I might do the same this year.  It just fits him.

7. Yao Ming, HOU (6) - Gotta love the big guy getting all worked up over his team not being tough, huh?  He’s turned into exactly what we thought he could be - a reliable 20/10/2 big guy who actually helps from the line.

8. Amare Stoudemire, PHO (11) - Two years back from microfracture surgery and now he’s getting his timing back on the defensive end, where he’s putting up a career-high 2 BPG.  His minutes are also creeping back to where they should be after his rough first two weeks, which has kept his numbers a little deflated.

9. Caron Butler, WAS (N/A) - The amazing thing about Caron, and some folks will disagree with me here, is that despite the awesome performance, he’s not one of those guys that you notice every time he’s on the floor.  That doesn’t mean a thing for fantasy purposes, though.

10. Josh Smith, ATL (8) - I’m still concerned that he gets SO much of his value from blocks, and I still don’t think he’s going to end the year above 3.5 pg.  He went from 3.6 in November to 3.0 in December so far.

11. Allen Iverson, DEN (14) - Remember when we were wondering who was going to be the alpha dog in Denver, him or Carmelo?  I think we can put that argument to rest.  When is AI going to show his age, though?  I’m a bit worried about wear and tear come spring.

12. Carlos Boozer, UTH (N/A) - The 57% from the field continues to amaze me.  Unfortunately, he’s returning to his poor FT shooting (as some commenters figured he would last month), but the unlikely uptick in steals and assists puts him here in the top 20.

13. Baron Davis, GSW (N/A) - It’s too bad for Baron that he’s officially banned from being in the top 10 ever again, because he’s putting together a nice case for himself.  If only he wasn’t a lock to miss 20 games …

14. Dwyane Wade, MIA (7) - At this point I think you have to be concerned that Wade has rushed himself back to try and save the season for the Heat.  He’s a turnover machine, his percentages are way down, and he’s been pretty awful, for his standards, save for that one 4-game stretch early in December.  I’m a little worried he might have to shut it back down at some point.

15. Dwight Howard, ORL (N/A) - DM and I were discussing Howard yesterday, and I think that he will be overrated from a fantasy standpoint for the next few years.  Kind of like how Tim Duncan was a first-round pick even though he always landed in the 12-20 range on the player rater, Howard is so monstrous in those big man categories that people tend to forget that, all things considered, he’s a second-round kinda guy.  Eventually, Duncan started getting drafted in the second round, and that should eventually happen for Howard, too.

16. Manu Ginobili, SAS (9) - So much for shooting 50% for the year, huh?  Ginobili struggled with his shot when both Duncan and Parker were out, but he should return to form just fine.

17. Dirk Nowitzki, DAL (10) - Hey Dirk, you might wanna check your luggage - it looks like you mighta left about 15% of your game in Australia this summer.

18. Chauncey Billups, DET (N/A) - It’s absolutely amazing how similar his numbers are this year compared to last year - the 11.6 shots per game, 1.6-of-4.5 from the arc, 1.2 steals … and everything else is pretty much right where it was, too.  Scary.

19.  Jason Kidd, NJN (N/A) - The stats are nice and all, as usual, but if I’m a Kidd owner I’m a little worried that this season might blow up in his face.  There’s just not a lot of good news in his world right now, and if the Nets continue to stink, who knows what could happen?

20.  As usual, we leave this one up to the commenters.  Who goes 20?

01
Matthew
December 18th, 2007 10:00 am

Michael Redd needs to be in that 20th spot…he’s boosted his value by putting up career high averages in both rebounds and assists.

02
Rich
December 18th, 2007 10:58 am

I’ve noticed how high you guys have Caron Butler lately, and his numbers lately have been quite incredible. I’ve been offered Butler straight up for either Bosh or Gasol - here is my current line-up.

Deron Williams
Mo Williams
Jackson
Lewis
Aldridge
Gasol
Bosh
Brad Miller
Bynum
Horford
Foye
Salmons
Stevenson

After tomorrow, I’ll be immediately picking up Chucky Atkins in place of Stevenson and holding onto him because his 3s and 4-5 assists would suit my team perfectly.

Anyway, right now I’m leaning towards dealing Bosh despite Gasol’s struggles, though I’m not sure about how severe Gasol’s toe injury is compared to Bosh’s potential lingering groin injury. My logic for giving away Bosh is that Gasol was having himself a nice December before the injury other than his blocked shots.. which were still right on par with a typical Bosh line.

Any recommendations here?

03
Ray Recca
December 18th, 2007 12:25 pm

Camby at 20? I probably biased b/c I he’s on my squad.

04
bv
December 18th, 2007 1:00 pm

rich, i think i would definitely make that deal for either bosh OR gasol … i think, tho, that without knowing more about gasol’s injury, i might have to deal him, even though he’s got a higher ceiling.

05
December 18th, 2007 2:21 pm

Deron or Camby I’d have to say. Though Gay and Kaman have statistical arguements they need to prove themselves over a longer period.

06
JM
December 18th, 2007 3:34 pm

In non-TO roto leagues, the only others I would add to your top 20 based on performance thus far:

Redd, Pierce, Deron, Kaman

I think they’ve produced a better overall Roto line than than Nowitzki, Camby, D.Howard and Wade

07
dave
December 18th, 2007 10:36 pm

roy?

08
dave
December 19th, 2007 7:17 am

2 dave’s?

Rich if you play head to head - I would be keeping Bosh over Gasol. Memphis will shut it down with 6-8 games left in the season and that includes Gasol.

I had a question about D. Howard though. In H2H he’s a beast and guarantees you win 3-4 categories on his own, but I would think in Roto his TO and FT% would keep you from winning the league?

I ask because I am considering playing Roto next year and I’m just thinking about the finer points

09
December 19th, 2007 9:07 am

I have D. Ho. in a roto league that I am winning right now. What I have done is base my team around the fact that I will lose those two categories, which I am, and trying to get at least a 10 (out of 12) in every other category. Working so far!

10
Rook
December 19th, 2007 5:42 pm

Any thoughts on Nene’s return? I can’t decide whether he’s worth a roster spot at this point…

11
Ray Recca
December 20th, 2007 7:41 am

I just got offered Richard Jefferson for Joe Johnson. 10-team 9-cat H2H league.

Baron Davis
Jason Terry
Ronnie Brewer
Tayshaun Prince
David Lee
Troy Murphy
Amare Stoudemire
Marcus Camby
Joe Johnson
Jameer Nelson
Samuel Dalembert
Jamario Moon
Gilbert Arenas

What do you guys think. I’m currently in first place by 4 games. On paper this sounds pretty fair. Both seem to get alot of points. RJ has more rebounds, JJ has more assists, and neither off them do too much in the defensive categories. But looking at current trends, R-Jeff has cooled off a bit, and Joe Johnson seems to be getting better. I think I am going to hold on to JJ. I don’t think I can lose the assists, especially while i wait and hope Gilbert gets healthy. Would I be better off shopping JJ for somone younger with higher upside like Granger, Roy, & Gay.

12
Joe
December 21st, 2007 11:40 pm

Nazr Mohammed for #20!! haha jk

13
Telmona
December 23rd, 2007 9:48 am

Kaman!!!

14
December 23rd, 2007 7:44 pm

I’m surprised you have Dirk so low…You really think his game is that far off this season?

15
Damien
December 26th, 2007 7:31 pm

In my H2H league Kaman has the 4th highest per game avg in the entire league, and his avg is only climbing over the past weeks. Clearly he is not the star that some are, but in terms of fantasy production I think he is top 10 in most leagues. I don’t play roto so maybe I am missing something, but he is a clear top 10 performer thus far and the MVP of my 8-0 squad.

Damien

Leave Your Comment

Name*
Mail*
Website
Comment